TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Artem Chepurnyi vs Viacheslav Kovalenko 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Artem Chepurnyi
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811115911811––
Viacheslav Kovalenko
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:53 and never touched — 72.8% is still 72.8%
Graded at full timeArtem Chepurnyi to win
72.8%
72.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingArtem Chepurnyi above · Viacheslav Kovalenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 74 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Artem Chepurnyi at 72.8%
74 points played in total.
H2H Artem Chepurnyi 16–7 Viacheslav Kovalenko Viacheslav Kovalenko has won 7 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:53What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Chepurnyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-7 in 23
Chepurnyi
Wrong
gap of 9 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chepurnyi 1743 vs Kovalenko 1578
Chepurnyi
Wrong
both rated, 166 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chepurnyi 40% vs Kovalenko 60%
Kovalenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chepurnyi 40% vs Kovalenko 70%
Kovalenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chepurnyi -1 · Kovalenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Chepurnyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovalenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChepurnyi 1.36 / Kovalenko 3.00
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Chepurnyi)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13176625
Chepurnyi1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 21)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 158 of 243
Up 2–0, closes it93% 79 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it82% 122 of 149
Kovalenko3.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 13 days ago (Sep 10) · back after a break
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 55 of 141
Down 0–1, comes back14% 11 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChepurnyi7wins
AwayKovalenko3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderChepurnyi leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChepurnyi87.5%7 of 8
AwayKovalenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chepurnyi8Kovalenko2n = 10Chepurnyi took 8 of 10
S2Chepurnyi4Kovalenko6n = 10Kovalenko took 6 of 10
S3Chepurnyi7Kovalenko3n = 10Chepurnyi took 7 of 10
S4Chepurnyi4Kovalenko2n = 6Chepurnyi took 4 of 6
S5Chepurnyi2Kovalenko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricChepurnyiKovalenkoC − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.634.4+5.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChepurnyiKovalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime550 / 933 vs 178 / 40659%43.8%550 / 933 vs 178 / 406Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChepurnyiChepurnyi 1.36/Kovalenko 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.8%
Chepurnyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kovalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 23 · 24:25A. Chepurnyi46131012113V. Kovalenko3511121021
LJul 2 · 15:55A. Chepurnyi186570V. Kovalenko331111113
LJun 26 · 24:55A. Chepurnyi4211711942V. Kovalenko42511411113
WJun 18 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi4111118113V. Kovalenko31781151
WJun 12 · 01:25A. Chepurnyi5311101011113V. Kovalenko3881212332
WJun 2 · 14:25A. Chepurnyi331111113V. Kovalenko152760
WMay 28 · 04:25A. Chepurnyi371311133V. Kovalenko31119110
LMay 20 · 02:55A. Chepurnyi4675161172V. Kovalenko551111148113
WMay 6 · 21:55A. Chepurnyi45117115113V. Kovalenko4131181182
WMay 6 · 01:25A. Chepurnyi351113113V. Kovalenko2351170
A. Chepurnyi10
LSep 21 · 04:25A. Chepurnyi1.4431111772M. Smyrnov2.63119511113WSep 21 · 02:25O. Gavryshko1.8312050A. Chepurnyi1.831411113WSep 21 · 24:25O. Mishchenko2.631181171A. Chepurnyi1.4471113113LSep 20 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi2.6367110O. Dukhovenko1.441111133LSep 20 · 22:25P. Plakushchyi2.20131110113A. Chepurnyi1.611171271WSep 20 · 03:55O. Mishchenko2.6381111742A. Chepurnyi1.44115311113LSep 20 · 02:55O. Gavryshko1.835111011113A. Chepurnyi1.8311812582LSep 20 · 01:25Y. Kryvorotko1.611113113A. Chepurnyi2.2091180WSep 19 · 23:25M. Smyrnov2.209111011102A. Chepurnyi1.61118127123LSep 19 · 21:25O. Dukhovenko1.4411811113A. Chepurnyi2.63711391
V. Kovalenko10
WSep 10 · 03:25V. Panasenko1.838980V. Kovalenko1.831111113WSep 10 · 02:25V. Kovalenko1.571111123E. Rubtsov2.2593100LSep 10 · 01:25V. Kovalenko2.001211811122P. Plakushchyi1.73144116143LSep 9 · 23:55V. Kovalenko1.83711461O. Kovalchuk1.8311611113WSep 9 · 21:55V. Kovalenko1.9111611113O. Mishchenko1.80311761WSep 3 · 03:25E. Rubtsov2.209480V. Kovalenko1.611111113LSep 3 · 02:25V. Kovalenko1.9171171182O. Mishchenko1.80117113113WSep 3 · 01:25V. Kovalenko1.9111611133O. Kovalchuk1.809118111WSep 2 · 23:55V. Kovalenko2.109111211113P. Plakushchyi1.6711514482WSep 2 · 21:55V. Kovalenko6.0011128123S. Ponomarenko1.1181011101
Upcoming Matches
A. Chepurnyi
V. Kovalenko
Sep 22 · 23:25V. Kovalenko7.00S. Ponomarenko1.08—Sep 23 · 01:25V. Kovalenko2.00P. Plakushchyi1.73—Sep 23 · 02:55V. Kovalenko1.50E. Rubtsov2.50—Sep 23 · 03:55V. Kovalenko1.91O. Kovalchuk1.80—Sep 23 · 13:05V. Kovalenko2.00P. Plakushchyi1.73—Sep 23 · 14:35V. Kovalenko1.50E. Rubtsov2.50—Sep 23 · 15:35V. Kovalenko7.00S. Ponomarenko1.08—Sep 23 · 16:35V. Kovalenko1.91O. Kovalchuk1.80—
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