TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Artem Chepurnyi
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6117111113––––
Oleksandr Dukhovenko
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:24 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Dukhovenko to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtem Chepurnyi above · Oleksandr Dukhovenko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 59 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Oleksandr Dukhovenko at 64.9%
59 points played in total.
H2H Artem Chepurnyi 62–146 Oleksandr Dukhovenko Artem Chepurnyi has won 62 of their 208 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:24What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Dukhovenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
62-146 in 208
Dukhovenko
Correct
gap of 84 in 208, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chepurnyi 1747 vs Dukhovenko 1828
Dukhovenko
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chepurnyi 40% vs Dukhovenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chepurnyi 40% vs Dukhovenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chepurnyi -1 · Dukhovenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Dukhovenko) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dukhovenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChepurnyi 2.63 / Dukhovenko 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Dukhovenko)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13161674
Chepurnyi2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 45 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back19% 12 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 40
Dukhovenko1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite74% won 217 of 294
Up 2–0, closes it97% 137 of 142
Up 1–0, closes it90% 171 of 190
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChepurnyi2wins
AwayDukhovenko8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDukhovenko leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChepurnyin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayDukhovenko88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chepurnyi1Dukhovenko9n = 10Dukhovenko took 9 of 10
S2Chepurnyi5Dukhovenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Chepurnyi4Dukhovenko6n = 10Dukhovenko took 6 of 10
S4Chepurnyi1Dukhovenko6n = 7Dukhovenko took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricChepurnyiDukhovenkoC − DBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match32.539.8−7.3per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChepurnyiDukhovenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime550 / 933 vs 536 / 85259%62.9%550 / 933 vs 536 / 852Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DukhovenkoChepurnyi 2.63/Dukhovenko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Dukhovenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dukhovenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 19 · 21:25A. Chepurnyi30711391O. Dukhovenko4111811113
LSep 18 · 19:25A. Chepurnyi239770O. Dukhovenko331111113
LSep 13 · 22:25A. Chepurnyi1844100O. Dukhovenko341111123
WSep 12 · 21:25A. Chepurnyi501112115113O. Dukhovenko4691441182
LSep 11 · 16:25A. Chepurnyi205690O. Dukhovenko331111113
LSep 6 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi32811851O. Dukhovenko4111811113
LSep 5 · 23:55A. Chepurnyi24511621O. Dukhovenko3811511113
LSep 4 · 14:55A. Chepurnyi4581111692O. Dukhovenko48118711113
LAug 30 · 24:55A. Chepurnyi389811101O. Dukhovenko4311119123
WAug 28 · 19:25A. Chepurnyi45111111123O. Dukhovenko411399101
A. Chepurnyi10
LSep 20 · 22:25P. Plakushchyi2.20131110113A. Chepurnyi1.611171271WSep 20 · 03:55O. Mishchenko2.6381111742A. Chepurnyi1.44115311113LSep 20 · 02:55O. Gavryshko1.835111011113A. Chepurnyi1.8311812582LSep 20 · 01:25Y. Kryvorotko1.611113113A. Chepurnyi2.2091180WSep 19 · 23:25M. Smyrnov2.209111011102A. Chepurnyi1.61118127123LSep 19 · 21:25O. Dukhovenko1.4411811113A. Chepurnyi2.63711391LSep 18 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko1.531111113A. Chepurnyi2.389770WSep 18 · 18:25A. Chepurnyi2.20119138113Y. Kryvorotko1.61911111192WSep 18 · 17:25A. Chepurnyi1.571111113P. Plakushchyi2.254380LSep 18 · 15:55A. Chepurnyi1.83811111172O. Gavryshko1.83118138113
O. Dukhovenko10
WSep 20 · 21:25O. Mishchenko2.50681171O. Dukhovenko1.5011116113LSep 20 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko1.9111341642Y. Kryvorotko1.808111114113LSep 20 · 01:55O. Dukhovenko1.50891181O. Mishchenko2.5011119113WSep 20 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko1.501113113M. Smyrnov2.5081170LSep 19 · 22:55O. Dukhovenko1.44111115962O. Gavryshko2.63581711113WSep 19 · 21:25O. Dukhovenko1.4411811113A. Chepurnyi2.63711391WSep 18 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko1.531111113A. Chepurnyi2.389770LSep 18 · 17:55O. Dukhovenko1.4411119582O. Gavryshko2.63561111113LSep 18 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko1.83116111442Y. Kryvorotko1.83911316113LSep 18 · 14:55O. Dukhovenko1.61771191O. Mishchenko2.2011119113
Upcoming Matches
A. Chepurnyi
O. Dukhovenko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.