Oleksandr Dukhovenko vs Mykyta Smyrnov 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13155660

Played Sep 20Finished

Oleksandr Dukhovenko

Home

1.50

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

1181311117––––

Mykyta Smyrnov

Away

2.50

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:17 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%

Graded at full time

Oleksandr Dukhovenko to win

60.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingOleksandr Dukhovenko above · Mykyta Smyrnov below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 13-11

Set 3 · 11-7

Point 61 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Dukhovenko at 60.7%

61 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 19:17

What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.50 (63%)

Dukhovenko

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Dukhovenko 1854 vs Smyrnov 1560

Dukhovenko

Correct

both rated, 293 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Dukhovenko 40% vs Smyrnov 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Dukhovenko 60% vs Smyrnov 30%

Dukhovenko

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Dukhovenko -1 · Smyrnov -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Dukhovenko) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Dukhovenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDukhovenko 1.50 / Smyrnov 2.50

Signal prob.65% / 35%

Edge (Dukhovenko)+2.8pp

Setka Cup · #13155660

Dukhovenko1.50

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

90%takes the first set · 9 of 10

As favourite74% won 215 of 290

Up 2–0, closes it97% 136 of 140

Up 1–0, closes it90% 169 of 187

Smyrnov2.50

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog40% won 95 of 235

Down 0–1, comes back20% 24 of 122

Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 75

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricDukhovenkoSmyrnovBasisWin rate · lifetime535 / 849 vs 402 / 82063%49%535 / 849 vs 402 / 820Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Dukhovenko

Dukhovenko 1.50/Smyrnov 2.50

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

65.3%

Dukhovenko · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Dukhovenko won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

O. Dukhovenko10