TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148360
Played Sep 18Finished
Artem Chepurnyi
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111181113118711
Oleg Gavryshko
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleg Gavryshko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtem Chepurnyi above · Oleg Gavryshko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 99 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Oleg Gavryshko at 54.0%
99 points played in total.
H2H Artem Chepurnyi 55–48 Oleg Gavryshko Oleg Gavryshko has won 48 of their 103 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:05What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Gavryshko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
55-48 in 103
Chepurnyi
Wrong
gap of 7 in 103, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chepurnyi 1795 vs Gavryshko 1855
Gavryshko
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chepurnyi 80% vs Gavryshko 60%
Chepurnyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chepurnyi 70% vs Gavryshko 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chepurnyi +4 · Gavryshko -1
Chepurnyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gavryshko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chepurnyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChepurnyi 1.83 / Gavryshko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Gavryshko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13148360
Chepurnyi1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Gavryshko1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChepurnyi4wins
AwayGavryshko6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGavryshko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChepurnyin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayGavryshko75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chepurnyi2Gavryshko8n = 10Gavryshko took 8 of 10
S2Chepurnyi7Gavryshko3n = 10Chepurnyi took 7 of 10
S3Chepurnyi3Gavryshko7n = 10Gavryshko took 7 of 10
S4Chepurnyi5Gavryshko3n = 8Chepurnyi took 5 of 8
S5Chepurnyi2Gavryshko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricChepurnyiGavryshkoC − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match40.541.2−0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChepurnyiGavryshkoBasisWin rate · lifetime549 / 929 vs 339 / 62059.1%54.7%549 / 929 vs 339 / 620Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GavryshkoChepurnyi 1.83/Gavryshko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Gavryshko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Gavryshko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 15:55A. Chepurnyi48811111172O. Gavryshko51118138113
WSep 13 · 02:55A. Chepurnyi3851111113O. Gavryshko35119781
WSep 11 · 14:25A. Chepurnyi331111113O. Gavryshko176740
WSep 7 · 24:25A. Chepurnyi561211814113O. Gavryshko53147111292
LSep 5 · 22:25A. Chepurnyi2791170O. Gavryshko351113113
WSep 4 · 16:55A. Chepurnyi50119711123O. Gavryshko49911118102
LAug 29 · 22:55A. Chepurnyi38981291O. Gavryshko43111110113
LAug 28 · 15:55A. Chepurnyi49101181192O. Gavryshko51128119113
LAug 16 · 21:25A. Chepurnyi30811381O. Gavryshko4211911113
LAug 15 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi36911791O. Gavryshko3611311113
A. Chepurnyi10
LSep 18 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko1.531111113A. Chepurnyi2.389770WSep 18 · 18:25A. Chepurnyi2.20119138113Y. Kryvorotko1.61911111192WSep 18 · 17:25A. Chepurnyi1.571111113P. Plakushchyi2.254380WSep 18 · 13:55A. Chepurnyi1.50111466113O. Mishchenko2.50912111172WSep 14 · 04:25A. Chepurnyi1.4481111113I. Demchenko2.63119661WSep 14 · 02:25O. Mishchenko2.631181581A. Chepurnyi1.44131113113WSep 14 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.57711131172A. Chepurnyi2.251113114113LSep 13 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi1.6112560P. Plakushchyi2.201411113LSep 13 · 22:25O. Dukhovenko1.401111123A. Chepurnyi2.7544100WSep 13 · 03:55O. Mishchenko2.636720A. Chepurnyi1.441111113
O. Gavryshko10
WSep 18 · 19:55O. Gavryshko1.40911914113P. Plakushchyi2.75117111282WSep 18 · 17:55O. Dukhovenko1.4411119582O. Gavryshko2.63561111113WSep 18 · 16:55O. Gavryshko1.36121244113O. Mishchenko3.001010111192LSep 18 · 14:25O. Gavryshko2.10511761Y. Kryvorotko1.6711811113WSep 16 · 12:05O. Gavryshko1.83911611113A. Lievshin1.8311411972WSep 16 · 10:05O. Kolbasenko2.501870O. Gavryshko1.501111113LSep 16 · 08:05V. Marushchak1.91911116113O. Gavryshko1.8011671162WSep 16 · 07:05O. Gavryshko1.5391211113A. Hrabskyi2.381110681WSep 16 · 06:05V. Mishchenko2.634660O. Gavryshko1.441111113WSep 13 · 04:25Y. Kryvorotko1.67481111132O. Gavryshko2.10111177153
Upcoming Matches
A. Chepurnyi
O. Gavryshko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.