TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148597
Played Sep 18Finished
Artem Chepurnyi
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1199111311811119
Yevhenii Kryvorotko
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:19 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Kryvorotko to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingArtem Chepurnyi above · Yevhenii Kryvorotko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 103 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Yevhenii Kryvorotko at 55.3%
103 points played in total.
H2H Artem Chepurnyi 47–69 Yevhenii Kryvorotko Artem Chepurnyi has won 47 of their 116 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:19What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kryvorotko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-69 in 116
Kryvorotko
Wrong
gap of 22 in 116, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chepurnyi 1788 vs Kryvorotko 1765
Chepurnyi
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chepurnyi 80% vs Kryvorotko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chepurnyi 70% vs Kryvorotko 50%
Chepurnyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chepurnyi +1 · Kryvorotko +4
Kryvorotko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kryvorotko) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvorotko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChepurnyi 2.20 / Kryvorotko 1.61
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Kryvorotko)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13148597
Chepurnyi2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 45 of 113
Down 0–1, comes back19% 12 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 38
Kryvorotko1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 122 of 205
Up 2–0, closes it93% 49 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it78% 79 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChepurnyi4wins
AwayKryvorotko6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKryvorotko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChepurnyi100%3 of 3
AwayKryvorotko85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chepurnyi3Kryvorotko7n = 10Kryvorotko took 7 of 10
S2Chepurnyi6Kryvorotko4n = 10Chepurnyi took 6 of 10
S3Chepurnyi7Kryvorotko3n = 10Chepurnyi took 7 of 10
S4Chepurnyi2Kryvorotko4n = 6Kryvorotko took 4 of 6
S5Chepurnyi1Kryvorotko3n = 4Kryvorotko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricChepurnyiKryvorotkoC − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.637.3−0.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChepurnyiKryvorotkoBasisWin rate · lifetime549 / 928 vs 316 / 50159.2%63.1%549 / 928 vs 316 / 501Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvorotkoChepurnyi 2.20/Kryvorotko 1.61
Miss
What we said
55.9%
Kryvorotko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Chepurnyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 24:25A. Chepurnyi501113114113Y. Kryvorotko49711131172
LSep 12 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi227960Y. Kryvorotko331111113
LSep 6 · 01:55A. Chepurnyi2111820Y. Kryvorotko351311113
WSep 4 · 20:25A. Chepurnyi3961111113Y. Kryvorotko26118251
LAug 30 · 02:55A. Chepurnyi3961111562Y. Kryvorotko47119511113
WAug 28 · 18:25A. Chepurnyi371111153Y. Kryvorotko2869130
LAug 22 · 22:25A. Chepurnyi36991171Y. Kryvorotko4111118113
LAug 21 · 16:25A. Chepurnyi47710111182Y. Kryvorotko46111257113
LAug 16 · 02:25A. Chepurnyi4271113562Y. Kryvorotko491151111113
WAug 14 · 18:55A. Chepurnyi331111113Y. Kryvorotko195950
A. Chepurnyi10
LSep 18 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko1.531111113A. Chepurnyi2.389770WSep 18 · 17:25A. Chepurnyi1.571111113P. Plakushchyi2.254380LSep 18 · 15:55A. Chepurnyi1.83811111172O. Gavryshko1.83118138113WSep 18 · 13:55A. Chepurnyi1.50111466113O. Mishchenko2.50912111172WSep 14 · 04:25A. Chepurnyi1.4481111113I. Demchenko2.63119661WSep 14 · 02:25O. Mishchenko2.631181581A. Chepurnyi1.44131113113WSep 14 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.57711131172A. Chepurnyi2.251113114113LSep 13 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi1.6112560P. Plakushchyi2.201411113LSep 13 · 22:25O. Dukhovenko1.401111123A. Chepurnyi2.7544100WSep 13 · 03:55O. Mishchenko2.636720A. Chepurnyi1.441111113
Y. Kryvorotko10
WSep 18 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko1.83116111442Y. Kryvorotko1.83911316113WSep 18 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko1.3611119113P. Plakushchyi3.00531161WSep 18 · 14:25O. Gavryshko2.10511761Y. Kryvorotko1.6711811113WSep 14 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.2291111113O. Mishchenko4.00118271LSep 14 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko1.671111831O. Dukhovenko2.1013611113LSep 14 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.57711131172A. Chepurnyi2.251113114113WSep 13 · 22:55Y. Kryvorotko1.4051111123I. Demchenko2.751194101LSep 13 · 21:25Y. Kryvorotko1.306590P. Plakushchyi3.401111113LSep 13 · 04:25Y. Kryvorotko1.67481111132O. Gavryshko2.10111177153LSep 13 · 02:25P. Plakushchyi3.4091111113Y. Kryvorotko1.30119571
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