TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148525
Played Sep 18Finished
Artem Chepurnyi
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191412611611117
Oleksandr Mishchenko
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:33 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeArtem Chepurnyi to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtem Chepurnyi above · Oleksandr Mishchenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 98 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Artem Chepurnyi at 62.5%
98 points played in total.
H2H Artem Chepurnyi 117–87 Oleksandr Mishchenko Oleksandr Mishchenko has won 87 of their 204 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:33What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Chepurnyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
117-87 in 204
Chepurnyi
Correct
gap of 30 in 204, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chepurnyi 1806 vs Mishchenko 1571
Chepurnyi
Correct
both rated, 236 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chepurnyi 60% vs Mishchenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chepurnyi 70% vs Mishchenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chepurnyi +3 · Mishchenko +1
Chepurnyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Chepurnyi) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mishchenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChepurnyi 1.50 / Mishchenko 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Chepurnyi)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13148525
Chepurnyi1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 161 of 244
Up 2–0, closes it93% 78 of 84
Up 1–0, closes it82% 125 of 152
Mishchenko2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 86 of 241
Down 0–1, comes back12% 17 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChepurnyi8wins
AwayMishchenko2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderChepurnyi leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChepurnyi100%6 of 6
AwayMishchenko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chepurnyi6Mishchenko4n = 10Chepurnyi took 6 of 10
S2Chepurnyi7Mishchenko3n = 10Chepurnyi took 7 of 10
S3Chepurnyi8Mishchenko2n = 10Chepurnyi took 8 of 10
S4Chepurnyi5Mishchenko0n = 5Chepurnyi took 5 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricChepurnyiMishchenkoC − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.330.2+7.1per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChepurnyiMishchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime565 / 949 vs 500 / 106759.5%46.9%565 / 949 vs 500 / 1067Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChepurnyiChepurnyi 1.50/Mishchenko 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Chepurnyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Chepurnyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 02:25A. Chepurnyi48131113113O. Mishchenko421181581
WSep 13 · 03:55A. Chepurnyi331111113O. Mishchenko156720
WSep 11 · 15:25A. Chepurnyi4181111113O. Mishchenko27114391
WSep 7 · 02:25A. Chepurnyi361312113O. Mishchenko27111060
WSep 4 · 18:55A. Chepurnyi331111113O. Mishchenko229850
LAug 29 · 21:55A. Chepurnyi46810111162O. Mishchenko47111294113
WAug 28 · 17:25A. Chepurnyi341112113O. Mishchenko2151060
WAug 23 · 21:25A. Chepurnyi4411913113O. Mishchenko345111171
LAug 23 · 01:25A. Chepurnyi197750O. Mishchenko331111113
WAug 17 · 01:25A. Chepurnyi3961111113O. Mishchenko34119591
A. Chepurnyi10
WSep 14 · 04:25A. Chepurnyi1.4481111113I. Demchenko2.63119661WSep 14 · 02:25O. Mishchenko2.631181581A. Chepurnyi1.44131113113WSep 14 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.57711131172A. Chepurnyi2.251113114113LSep 13 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi1.6112560P. Plakushchyi2.201411113LSep 13 · 22:25O. Dukhovenko1.401111123A. Chepurnyi2.7544100WSep 13 · 03:55O. Mishchenko2.636720A. Chepurnyi1.441111113WSep 13 · 02:55O. Gavryshko1.83119781A. Chepurnyi1.8351111113WSep 13 · 01:25P. Plakushchyi2.257370A. Chepurnyi1.571111113LSep 12 · 23:25Y. Kryvorotko1.571111113A. Chepurnyi2.257960WSep 12 · 21:25O. Dukhovenko1.5391441182A. Chepurnyi2.381112115113
O. Mishchenko10
WSep 17 · 04:25O. Mishchenko1.361111113E. Rubtsov3.005870LSep 17 · 02:58O. Mishchenko1.67510100O. Kovalchuk2.101112123WSep 16 · 23:25O. Mishchenko1.911171411113V. Panasenko1.8091116962LSep 16 · 22:55O. Mishchenko2.00811101192P. Plakushchyi1.73114127113WSep 16 · 22:25O. Kovalchuk2.25118761O. Mishchenko1.5751111113WSep 16 · 02:55O. Mishchenko1.3311119113E. Rubtsov3.25551161LSep 16 · 02:53O. Mishchenko1.676760O. Kovalchuk2.101111113WSep 16 · 24:55O. Kovalchuk2.3812990O. Mishchenko1.531411113LSep 14 · 02:25O. Mishchenko2.631181581A. Chepurnyi1.44131113113LSep 13 · 03:55O. Mishchenko2.636720A. Chepurnyi1.441111113
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