TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136689
Played Sep 17Finished
Oleksandr Mishchenko
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115118117––––
Eduard Rubtsov
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:05 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mishchenko to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Mishchenko above · Eduard Rubtsov below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 53 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Mishchenko at 75.3%
53 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mishchenko 108–48 Eduard Rubtsov Eduard Rubtsov has won 48 of their 156 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:05What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Mishchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
108-48 in 156
Mishchenko
Correct
gap of 60 in 156, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mishchenko 1566 vs Rubtsov 1425
Mishchenko
Correct
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mishchenko 60% vs Rubtsov 20%
Mishchenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mishchenko 50% vs Rubtsov 30%
Mishchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mishchenko +1 · Rubtsov -4
Rubtsov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Mishchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rubtsov form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMishchenko 1.36 / Rubtsov 3.00
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Mishchenko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13136689
Mishchenko1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 117 of 199
Up 2–0, closes it89% 78 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it84% 100 of 119
Rubtsov3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 98 of 285
Down 0–1, comes back14% 22 of 161
Down 0–2, comes back9% 11 of 119
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMishchenko7wins
AwayRubtsov3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMishchenko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMishchenko87.5%7 of 8
AwayRubtsovn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mishchenko8Rubtsov2n = 10Mishchenko took 8 of 10
S2Mishchenko9Rubtsov1n = 10Mishchenko took 9 of 10
S3Mishchenko5Rubtsov5n = 10split evenly
S4Mishchenko4Rubtsov2n = 6Mishchenko took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMishchenkoRubtsovM − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.531.0+7.5per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMishchenkoRubtsovBasisWin rate · lifetime498 / 1064 vs 292 / 76546.8%38.2%498 / 1064 vs 292 / 765Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.635.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MishchenkoMishchenko 1.36/Rubtsov 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.2%
Mishchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mishchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 02:55O. Mishchenko4211119113E. Rubtsov27551161
LSep 10 · 04:25O. Mishchenko399128101E. Rubtsov44111011123
LSep 8 · 23:25O. Mishchenko46111111762E. Rubtsov48491311113
LSep 3 · 17:25O. Mishchenko4271171162E. Rubtsov43115115113
WSep 3 · 24:25O. Mishchenko4615911113E. Rubtsov341311281
WAug 26 · 15:25O. Mishchenko331111113E. Rubtsov208570
WAug 25 · 22:55O. Mishchenko351112123E. Rubtsov25510100
WAug 20 · 18:25O. Mishchenko331111113E. Rubtsov218850
WAug 19 · 22:25O. Mishchenko331111113E. Rubtsov132740
WAug 18 · 23:55O. Mishchenko3611113113E. Rubtsov35791181
O. Mishchenko10
WSep 16 · 23:25O. Mishchenko1.911171411113V. Panasenko1.8091116962LSep 16 · 22:55O. Mishchenko2.00811101192P. Plakushchyi1.73114127113WSep 16 · 02:55O. Mishchenko1.3311119113E. Rubtsov3.25551161LSep 16 · 02:53O. Mishchenko1.676760O. Kovalchuk2.101111113WSep 16 · 24:55O. Kovalchuk2.3812990O. Mishchenko1.531411113WSep 15 · 22:55P. Plakushchyi1.67881181O. Mishchenko2.1011116113LSep 15 · 21:55V. Panasenko1.831181111113O. Mishchenko1.8391161382LSep 14 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.2291111113O. Mishchenko4.00118271LSep 14 · 02:25O. Mishchenko2.631181581A. Chepurnyi1.44131113113WSep 14 · 01:25O. Mishchenko2.001111133P. Plakushchyi1.7389110
E. Rubtsov10
WSep 17 · 02:55E. Rubtsov2.201112811113V. Panasenko1.6171411432LSep 17 · 24:55O. Kovalchuk1.83111156113E. Rubtsov1.8393111142LSep 16 · 03:55O. Kovalchuk1.8011118153E. Rubtsov1.919611131LSep 16 · 02:55O. Mishchenko1.3311119113E. Rubtsov3.25551161LSep 16 · 02:29E. Rubtsov2.55511781P. Plakushchyi1.4511911113WSep 16 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.67811511102E. Rubtsov2.10117112123WSep 10 · 04:25E. Rubtsov3.40111011123O. Mishchenko1.309128101LSep 10 · 02:25V. Kovalenko1.571111123E. Rubtsov2.2593100WSep 10 · 24:25V. Panasenko1.4451190E. Rubtsov2.631113113LSep 9 · 23:25E. Rubtsov2.751181251P. Plakushchyi1.4061114113
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