TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136745
Played Sep 17Finished
Eduard Rubtsov
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171214811114113
Volodymyr Panasenko
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:15 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Panasenko to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingEduard Rubtsov above · Volodymyr Panasenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 92 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Volodymyr Panasenko at 58.6%
92 points played in total.
H2H Eduard Rubtsov 2–1 Volodymyr Panasenko Volodymyr Panasenko has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:15What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Panasenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rubtsov 1416 vs Panasenko 1511
Panasenko
Wrong
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rubtsov 20% vs Panasenko 0%
Rubtsov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rubtsov 30% vs Panasenko 10%
Rubtsov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rubtsov -4 · Panasenko -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Panasenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Panasenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRubtsov 2.20 / Panasenko 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Panasenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13136745
Rubtsov2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 98 of 285
Down 0–1, comes back14% 22 of 161
Down 0–2, comes back9% 11 of 119
Panasenko1.61
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite57% won 26 of 46
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it81% 21 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeRubtsov2wins
AwayPanasenko1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderRubtsov leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rubtsov2Panasenko1n = 3Rubtsov took 2 of 3
S2Rubtsov1Panasenko2n = 3Panasenko took 2 of 3
S3Rubtsov2Panasenko1n = 3Rubtsov took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricRubtsovPanasenkoR − PBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match32.734.7−2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRubtsovPanasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime292 / 765 vs 31 / 6238.2%50%292 / 765 vs 31 / 62Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.139.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PanasenkoRubtsov 2.20/Panasenko 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Panasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Rubtsov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 16 · 01:25E. Rubtsov43117112123V. Panasenko45811511102
WSep 10 · 24:25E. Rubtsov351113113V. Panasenko2551190
LSep 9 · 01:25E. Rubtsov2051050V. Panasenko341112113
E. Rubtsov10
LSep 17 · 04:25O. Mishchenko1.361111113E. Rubtsov3.005870LSep 17 · 02:31E. Rubtsov1.911110581P. Plakushchyi1.8071211113LSep 17 · 24:55O. Kovalchuk1.83111156113E. Rubtsov1.8393111142LSep 16 · 03:55O. Kovalchuk1.8011118153E. Rubtsov1.919611131LSep 16 · 02:55O. Mishchenko1.3311119113E. Rubtsov3.25551161LSep 16 · 02:29E. Rubtsov2.55511781P. Plakushchyi1.4511911113WSep 16 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.67811511102E. Rubtsov2.10117112123WSep 10 · 04:25E. Rubtsov3.40111011123O. Mishchenko1.309128101LSep 10 · 02:25V. Kovalenko1.571111123E. Rubtsov2.2593100WSep 10 · 24:25V. Panasenko1.4451190E. Rubtsov2.631113113
V. Panasenko10
LSep 17 · 03:55O. Kovalchuk1.731110114113V. Panasenko2.0041251132LSep 17 · 01:25P. Plakushchyi1.53111174113V. Panasenko2.3886111192LSep 16 · 23:25O. Mishchenko1.911171411113V. Panasenko1.8091116962LSep 16 · 03:25P. Plakushchyi1.7311116113V. Panasenko2.00691161LSep 16 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.67811511102E. Rubtsov2.10117112123LSep 16 · 24:55O. Kovalchuk1.911112113V. Panasenko1.8071060WSep 15 · 21:55V. Panasenko1.831181111113O. Mishchenko1.8391161382LSep 10 · 03:25V. Panasenko1.838980V. Kovalenko1.831111113LSep 10 · 01:55V. Panasenko1.57411551O. Kovalchuk2.2511711113LSep 10 · 24:25V. Panasenko1.4451190E. Rubtsov2.631113113
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