TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136588
Played Sep 17Finished
Pavel Plakushchyi
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118116711411119
Volodymyr Panasenko
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:46 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timePavel Plakushchyi to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Plakushchyi above · Volodymyr Panasenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 89 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Pavel Plakushchyi at 55.8%
89 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Plakushchyi 3–0 Volodymyr Panasenko Volodymyr Panasenko has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:46What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Plakushchyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Plakushchyi
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plakushchyi 1680 vs Panasenko 1517
Plakushchyi
Correct
both rated, 163 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plakushchyi 60% vs Panasenko 20%
Plakushchyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plakushchyi 60% vs Panasenko 10%
Plakushchyi
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Plakushchyi +3 · Panasenko -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Plakushchyi) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Panasenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlakushchyi 1.53 / Panasenko 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Plakushchyi)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13136588
Plakushchyi1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 50 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it100% 19 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it86% 36 of 42
Panasenko2.38
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePlakushchyi3wins
AwayPanasenko0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderPlakushchyi leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlakushchyi100%3 of 3
AwayPanasenkon = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plakushchyi3Panasenko0n = 3Plakushchyi took 3 of 3
S2Plakushchyi2Panasenko1n = 3Plakushchyi took 2 of 3
S3Plakushchyi2Panasenko1n = 3Plakushchyi took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricPlakushchyiPanasenkoPlakushchyi − PanasenkoBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match43.736.0+7.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlakushchyiPanasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime311 / 697 vs 31 / 6144.6%50.8%311 / 697 vs 31 / 61Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.339.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlakushchyiPlakushchyi 1.53/Panasenko 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Plakushchyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Plakushchyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 16 · 03:25P. Plakushchyi3911116113V. Panasenko32691161
WSep 9 · 21:25P. Plakushchyi331111113V. Panasenko229580
WSep 8 · 23:55P. Plakushchyi591116119123V. Panasenko54918611102
P. Plakushchyi10
LSep 17 · 24:55O. Kovalchuk2.3811611113P. Plakushchyi1.53911761WSep 16 · 22:55O. Mishchenko2.00811101192P. Plakushchyi1.73114127113WSep 16 · 03:25P. Plakushchyi1.7311116113V. Panasenko2.00691161WSep 16 · 02:29E. Rubtsov2.55511781P. Plakushchyi1.4511911113WSep 16 · 01:55P. Plakushchyi2.501113113O. Kovalchuk1.5031150LSep 15 · 22:55P. Plakushchyi1.67881181O. Mishchenko2.1011116113LSep 14 · 03:55O. Dukhovenko1.101111113P. Plakushchyi6.507950WSep 14 · 02:55I. Demchenko1.577760P. Plakushchyi2.251111113LSep 14 · 01:25O. Mishchenko2.001111133P. Plakushchyi1.7389110WSep 13 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi1.6112560P. Plakushchyi2.201411113
V. Panasenko10
LSep 17 · 03:55O. Kovalchuk1.731110114113V. Panasenko2.0041251132LSep 17 · 02:55E. Rubtsov2.201112811113V. Panasenko1.6171411432LSep 16 · 23:25O. Mishchenko1.911171411113V. Panasenko1.8091116962LSep 16 · 03:25P. Plakushchyi1.7311116113V. Panasenko2.00691161LSep 16 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.67811511102E. Rubtsov2.10117112123LSep 16 · 24:55O. Kovalchuk1.911112113V. Panasenko1.8071060WSep 15 · 21:55V. Panasenko1.831181111113O. Mishchenko1.8391161382LSep 10 · 03:25V. Panasenko1.838980V. Kovalenko1.831111113LSep 10 · 01:55V. Panasenko1.57411551O. Kovalchuk2.2511711113LSep 10 · 24:25V. Panasenko1.4451190E. Rubtsov2.631113113
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