TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13138394
Played Sep 16Finished
Eduard Rubtsov
Home
2.55
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511119711811––
Pavel Plakushchyi
Away
1.45
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingEduard Rubtsov above · Pavel Plakushchyi below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11
73 points played in total.
H2H Eduard Rubtsov 37–61 Pavel Plakushchyi Eduard Rubtsov has won 37 of their 98 meetings.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Plakushchyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plakushchyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRubtsov 2.55 / Plakushchyi 1.45
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Plakushchyi)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13138394
Rubtsov2.55
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 97 of 281
Down 0–1, comes back14% 22 of 158
Down 0–2, comes back9% 11 of 117
Plakushchyi1.45
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 48 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it85% 34 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRubtsov2wins
AwayPlakushchyi8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPlakushchyi leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRubtsov40%2 of 5
AwayPlakushchyi100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rubtsov5Plakushchyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Rubtsov4Plakushchyi6n = 10Plakushchyi took 6 of 10
S3Rubtsov5Plakushchyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Rubtsov2Plakushchyi6n = 8Plakushchyi took 6 of 8
S5Rubtsov0Plakushchyi3n = 3Plakushchyi took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRubtsovPlakushchyiR − PBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.238.4−2.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRubtsovPlakushchyiBasisWin rate · lifetime292 / 763 vs 310 / 69638.3%44.5%292 / 763 vs 310 / 696Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.135.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlakushchyiRubtsov 2.55/Plakushchyi 1.45
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Plakushchyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Plakushchyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 23:25E. Rubtsov361181251P. Plakushchyi4261114113
LSep 9 · 03:55E. Rubtsov4511711792P. Plakushchyi43711311113
WSep 3 · 15:55E. Rubtsov341112113P. Plakushchyi2471070
LSep 3 · 01:55E. Rubtsov228680P. Plakushchyi331111113
LAug 26 · 17:25E. Rubtsov34511991P. Plakushchyi4211911113
LAug 26 · 03:25E. Rubtsov35951291P. Plakushchyi43111110113
WAug 20 · 15:55E. Rubtsov3611311113P. Plakushchyi24311821
LAug 19 · 23:55E. Rubtsov48971111102P. Plakushchyi49111169123
LAug 19 · 01:25E. Rubtsov4011116662P. Plakushchyi50981111113
LJul 29 · 21:25E. Rubtsov32711681P. Plakushchyi3411111113
E. Rubtsov10
LSep 16 · 03:55O. Kovalchuk1.8011118153E. Rubtsov1.919611131LSep 16 · 02:55O. Mishchenko1.3311119113E. Rubtsov3.25551161WSep 16 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.67811511102E. Rubtsov2.10117112123WSep 10 · 04:25E. Rubtsov3.40111011123O. Mishchenko1.309128101LSep 10 · 02:25V. Kovalenko1.571111123E. Rubtsov2.2593100WSep 10 · 24:25V. Panasenko1.4451190E. Rubtsov2.631113113LSep 9 · 23:25E. Rubtsov2.751181251P. Plakushchyi1.4061114113LSep 9 · 22:25O. Kovalchuk1.83111177113E. Rubtsov1.8345111182LSep 9 · 03:55P. Plakushchyi1.40711311113E. Rubtsov2.7511711792LSep 9 · 02:55O. Kovalchuk1.731111113E. Rubtsov2.007460
P. Plakushchyi10
WSep 16 · 03:25P. Plakushchyi1.7311116113V. Panasenko2.00691161WSep 16 · 01:55P. Plakushchyi2.501113113O. Kovalchuk1.5031150LSep 15 · 22:55P. Plakushchyi1.67881181O. Mishchenko2.1011116113LSep 14 · 03:55O. Dukhovenko1.101111113P. Plakushchyi6.507950WSep 14 · 02:55I. Demchenko1.577760P. Plakushchyi2.251111113LSep 14 · 01:25O. Mishchenko2.001111133P. Plakushchyi1.7389110WSep 13 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi1.6112560P. Plakushchyi2.201411113WSep 13 · 21:25Y. Kryvorotko1.306590P. Plakushchyi3.401111113WSep 9 · 23:25E. Rubtsov2.751181251P. Plakushchyi1.4061114113WSep 9 · 03:55P. Plakushchyi1.40711311113E. Rubtsov2.7511711792
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