TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136871
Played Sep 16Finished
Oleksandr Mishchenko
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1197111416119116
Volodymyr Panasenko
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Panasenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Mishchenko above · Volodymyr Panasenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 14-16
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 105 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Volodymyr Panasenko at 54.0%
105 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mishchenko 1–2 Volodymyr Panasenko Oleksandr Mishchenko has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:34What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Panasenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mishchenko 1563 vs Panasenko 1540
Mishchenko
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mishchenko 60% vs Panasenko 20%
Mishchenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mishchenko 50% vs Panasenko 10%
Mishchenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mishchenko +1 · Panasenko -3
Panasenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Panasenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Panasenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMishchenko 1.91 / Panasenko 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Panasenko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13136871
Mishchenko1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 85 of 242
Down 0–1, comes back12% 17 of 140
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 77
Panasenko1.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 26 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it81% 21 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMishchenko1wins
AwayPanasenko2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderPanasenko leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mishchenko1Panasenko2n = 3Panasenko took 2 of 3
S2Mishchenko2Panasenko1n = 3Mishchenko took 2 of 3
S3Mishchenko1Panasenko2n = 3Panasenko took 2 of 3
S4Mishchenko2Panasenko1n = 3Mishchenko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMishchenkoPanasenkoM − PBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match42.044.0−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMishchenkoPanasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime497 / 1062 vs 31 / 5946.8%52.5%497 / 1062 vs 31 / 59Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.639.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PanasenkoMishchenko 1.91/Panasenko 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Panasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mishchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 15 · 21:55O. Mishchenko4791161382V. Panasenko521181111113
WSep 9 · 22:55O. Mishchenko46111011143V. Panasenko387127121
LSep 9 · 02:25O. Mishchenko33711961V. Panasenko4211911113
O. Mishchenko10
LSep 16 · 22:55O. Mishchenko2.00811101192P. Plakushchyi1.73114127113WSep 16 · 02:55O. Mishchenko1.3311119113E. Rubtsov3.25551161LSep 16 · 02:53O. Mishchenko1.676760O. Kovalchuk2.101111113WSep 16 · 24:55O. Kovalchuk2.3812990O. Mishchenko1.531411113WSep 15 · 22:55P. Plakushchyi1.67881181O. Mishchenko2.1011116113LSep 15 · 21:55V. Panasenko1.831181111113O. Mishchenko1.8391161382LSep 14 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.2291111113O. Mishchenko4.00118271LSep 14 · 02:25O. Mishchenko2.631181581A. Chepurnyi1.44131113113WSep 14 · 01:25O. Mishchenko2.001111133P. Plakushchyi1.7389110LSep 13 · 23:55O. Mishchenko2.255850O. Dukhovenko1.571111113
V. Panasenko10
LSep 17 · 03:55O. Kovalchuk1.731110114113V. Panasenko2.0041251132LSep 16 · 03:25P. Plakushchyi1.7311116113V. Panasenko2.00691161LSep 16 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.67811511102E. Rubtsov2.10117112123LSep 16 · 24:55O. Kovalchuk1.911112113V. Panasenko1.8071060WSep 15 · 21:55V. Panasenko1.831181111113O. Mishchenko1.8391161382LSep 10 · 03:25V. Panasenko1.838980V. Kovalenko1.831111113LSep 10 · 01:55V. Panasenko1.57411551O. Kovalchuk2.2511711113LSep 10 · 24:25V. Panasenko1.4451190E. Rubtsov2.631113113LSep 9 · 22:55V. Panasenko1.737127121O. Mishchenko2.00111011143LSep 9 · 21:25V. Panasenko1.839580P. Plakushchyi1.831111113
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