TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Oleksandr Dukhovenko
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1183114111614411
Yevhenii Kryvorotko
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Dukhovenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Dukhovenko above · Yevhenii Kryvorotko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 16-14
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 93 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Oleksandr Dukhovenko at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Dukhovenko 65–91 Yevhenii Kryvorotko Oleksandr Dukhovenko has won 65 of their 156 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:16What took a side1 for · 5 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kryvorotko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
65-91 in 156
Kryvorotko
Correct
gap of 26 in 156, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dukhovenko 1823 vs Kryvorotko 1813
Dukhovenko
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dukhovenko 60% vs Kryvorotko 100%
Kryvorotko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dukhovenko 50% vs Kryvorotko 90%
Kryvorotko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dukhovenko -1 · Kryvorotko +5
Kryvorotko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dukhovenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvorotko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDukhovenko 1.91 / Kryvorotko 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dukhovenko)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13155627
Dukhovenko1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog38% won 19 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back23% 6 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Kryvorotko1.80
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 124 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it93% 50 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it79% 81 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDukhovenko5wins
AwayKryvorotko5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDukhovenko40%2 of 5
AwayKryvorotko40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dukhovenko5Kryvorotko5n = 10split evenly
S2Dukhovenko6Kryvorotko4n = 10Dukhovenko took 6 of 10
S3Dukhovenko4Kryvorotko6n = 10Kryvorotko took 6 of 10
S4Dukhovenko6Kryvorotko2n = 8Dukhovenko took 6 of 8
S5Dukhovenko2Kryvorotko4n = 6Kryvorotko took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDukhovenkoKryvorotkoD − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.242.5−1.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDukhovenkoKryvorotkoBasisWin rate · lifetime536 / 852 vs 320 / 50462.9%63.5%536 / 852 vs 320 / 504Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.639.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DukhovenkoDukhovenko 1.91/Kryvorotko 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dukhovenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kryvorotko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko3811341642Y. Kryvorotko558111114113
LSep 18 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko46116111442Y. Kryvorotko50911316113
WSep 14 · 01:55O. Dukhovenko4113611113Y. Kryvorotko331111831
WSep 13 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko331111113Y. Kryvorotko165830
WSep 6 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko4181111113Y. Kryvorotko37119981
LSep 4 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko4311146572Y. Kryvorotko494121111113
LAug 30 · 03:55O. Dukhovenko1510230Y. Kryvorotko341211113
WAug 28 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko50516711113Y. Kryvorotko47111411382
WAug 23 · 01:55O. Dukhovenko527131011113Y. Kryvorotko49111112872
LAug 21 · 17:25O. Dukhovenko53121291192Y. Kryvorotko551410119113
O. Dukhovenko10
LSep 20 · 01:55O. Dukhovenko1.50891181O. Mishchenko2.5011119113WSep 20 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko1.501113113M. Smyrnov2.5081170LSep 19 · 22:55O. Dukhovenko1.44111115962O. Gavryshko2.63581711113WSep 19 · 21:25O. Dukhovenko1.4411811113A. Chepurnyi2.63711391WSep 18 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko1.531111113A. Chepurnyi2.389770LSep 18 · 17:55O. Dukhovenko1.4411119582O. Gavryshko2.63561111113LSep 18 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko1.83116111442Y. Kryvorotko1.83911316113LSep 18 · 14:55O. Dukhovenko1.61771191O. Mishchenko2.2011119113WSep 18 · 13:25O. Dukhovenko1.101111113P. Plakushchyi6.504780WSep 14 · 03:55O. Dukhovenko1.101111113P. Plakushchyi6.507950
Y. Kryvorotko10
WSep 20 · 02:25Y. Kryvorotko1.6711118113M. Smyrnov2.10781151WSep 20 · 01:25Y. Kryvorotko1.611113113A. Chepurnyi2.2091180WSep 19 · 23:55Y. Kryvorotko1.22711713113O. Mishchenko4.00119111172WSep 19 · 21:55Y. Kryvorotko1.8011713213O. Gavryshko1.9171111191WSep 18 · 20:25Y. Kryvorotko1.2291111113O. Mishchenko4.00116331LSep 18 · 18:25A. Chepurnyi2.20119138113Y. Kryvorotko1.61911111192WSep 18 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko1.83116111442Y. Kryvorotko1.83911316113WSep 18 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko1.3611119113P. Plakushchyi3.00531161WSep 18 · 14:25O. Gavryshko2.10511761Y. Kryvorotko1.6711811113WSep 14 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.2291111113O. Mishchenko4.00118271
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