TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155593
Played Sep 19Finished
Yevhenii Kryvorotko
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111197111311117
Oleksandr Mishchenko
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:08 and never touched — 81.0% is still 81.0%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Kryvorotko to win
81.0%
81.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Kryvorotko above · Oleksandr Mishchenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 98 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Yevhenii Kryvorotko at 81.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Kryvorotko 74–25 Oleksandr Mishchenko Oleksandr Mishchenko has won 25 of their 99 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:08What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Kryvorotko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
74-25 in 99
Kryvorotko
Correct
gap of 49 in 99, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryvorotko 1781 vs Mishchenko 1542
Kryvorotko
Correct
both rated, 239 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvorotko 80% vs Mishchenko 20%
Kryvorotko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvorotko 70% vs Mishchenko 30%
Kryvorotko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvorotko +2 · Mishchenko -4
Mishchenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Kryvorotko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvorotko 1.22 / Mishchenko 4.00
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Kryvorotko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13155593
Kryvorotko1.22
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 124 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it93% 50 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it79% 81 of 103
Mishchenko4.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 86 of 243
Down 0–1, comes back12% 17 of 140
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryvorotko9wins
AwayMishchenko1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKryvorotko leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryvorotko83.3%5 of 6
AwayMishchenko0%0 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryvorotko6Mishchenko4n = 10Kryvorotko took 6 of 10
S2Kryvorotko8Mishchenko2n = 10Kryvorotko took 8 of 10
S3Kryvorotko8Mishchenko2n = 10Kryvorotko took 8 of 10
S4Kryvorotko5Mishchenko1n = 6Kryvorotko took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryvorotkoMishchenkoK − MBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.729.3+9.4per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvorotkoMishchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime317 / 501 vs 496 / 106063.3%46.8%317 / 501 vs 496 / 1060Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvorotkoKryvorotko 1.22/Mishchenko 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81%
Kryvorotko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kryvorotko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 23:55Y. Kryvorotko49711713113O. Mishchenko49119111172
WSep 18 · 20:25Y. Kryvorotko4291111113O. Mishchenko23116331
WSep 14 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko4291111113O. Mishchenko28118271
LSep 12 · 22:25Y. Kryvorotko361157131O. Mishchenko4691111153
WSep 4 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko331111113O. Mishchenko175840
WAug 30 · 01:25Y. Kryvorotko3911611113O. Mishchenko32711771
WAug 28 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko401117123O. Mishchenko30515100
WAug 22 · 23:25Y. Kryvorotko331111113O. Mishchenko184950
WJul 19 · 02:25Y. Kryvorotko331111113O. Mishchenko226880
WJul 17 · 20:25Y. Kryvorotko4071111113O. Mishchenko28117461
Y. Kryvorotko10
WSep 19 · 21:55Y. Kryvorotko1.8011713213O. Gavryshko1.9171111191WSep 18 · 20:25Y. Kryvorotko1.2291111113O. Mishchenko4.00116331LSep 18 · 18:25A. Chepurnyi2.20119138113Y. Kryvorotko1.61911111192WSep 18 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko1.83116111442Y. Kryvorotko1.83911316113WSep 18 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko1.3611119113P. Plakushchyi3.00531161WSep 18 · 14:25O. Gavryshko2.10511761Y. Kryvorotko1.6711811113WSep 14 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.2291111113O. Mishchenko4.00118271LSep 14 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko1.671111831O. Dukhovenko2.1013611113LSep 14 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.57711131172A. Chepurnyi2.251113114113WSep 13 · 22:55Y. Kryvorotko1.4051111123I. Demchenko2.751194101
O. Mishchenko10
LSep 20 · 24:55O. Mishchenko3.00781171O. Gavryshko1.3611118113LSep 19 · 22:25O. Mishchenko2.25771151M. Smyrnov1.5711116113LSep 18 · 20:25Y. Kryvorotko1.2291111113O. Mishchenko4.00116331LSep 18 · 18:55O. Mishchenko1.9111681142P. Plakushchyi1.80711119113LSep 18 · 16:55O. Gavryshko1.36121244113O. Mishchenko3.001010111192WSep 18 · 14:55O. Dukhovenko1.61771191O. Mishchenko2.2011119113LSep 18 · 13:55A. Chepurnyi1.50111466113O. Mishchenko2.50912111172WSep 17 · 04:25O. Mishchenko1.361111113E. Rubtsov3.005870LSep 17 · 02:58O. Mishchenko1.67510100O. Kovalchuk2.101112123LSep 14 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.2291111113O. Mishchenko4.00118271
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