TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155123
Played Sep 19Finished
Yevhenii Kryvorotko
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11771113112119––
Oleg Gavryshko
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Kryvorotko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Kryvorotko above · Oleg Gavryshko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 21-19
Point 100 set 4, 21-19 — our read held Yevhenii Kryvorotko at 54.0%
100 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Kryvorotko 46–42 Oleg Gavryshko Oleg Gavryshko has won 42 of their 88 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:20What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kryvorotko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
46-42 in 88
Kryvorotko
Correct
gap of 4 in 88, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryvorotko 1761 vs Gavryshko 1855
Gavryshko
Wrong
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvorotko 80% vs Gavryshko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvorotko 60% vs Gavryshko 80%
Gavryshko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvorotko +1 · Gavryshko +4
Gavryshko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gavryshko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gavryshko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvorotko 1.80 / Gavryshko 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Gavryshko)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13155123
Kryvorotko1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 18)
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 124 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it93% 50 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it79% 81 of 103
Gavryshko1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 18)
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 65 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back23% 20 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back14% 8 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryvorotko4wins
AwayGavryshko6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderGavryshko leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryvorotko50%3 of 6
AwayGavryshko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryvorotko6Gavryshko4n = 10Kryvorotko took 6 of 10
S2Kryvorotko3Gavryshko7n = 10Gavryshko took 7 of 10
S3Kryvorotko4Gavryshko6n = 10Gavryshko took 6 of 10
S4Kryvorotko4Gavryshko5n = 9Gavryshko took 5 of 9
S5Kryvorotko3Gavryshko3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryvorotkoGavryshkoK − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.743.0−1.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvorotkoGavryshkoBasisWin rate · lifetime317 / 503 vs 339 / 62063%54.7%317 / 503 vs 339 / 620Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GavryshkoKryvorotko 1.80/Gavryshko 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Gavryshko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kryvorotko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 14:25Y. Kryvorotko4111811113O. Gavryshko29511761
LSep 13 · 04:25Y. Kryvorotko47481111132O. Gavryshko51111177153
LSep 6 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko4111561272O. Gavryshko485111110113
LSep 4 · 14:25Y. Kryvorotko2477100O. Gavryshko341111123
LAug 29 · 21:25Y. Kryvorotko351186101O. Gavryshko4171111123
WAug 28 · 14:25Y. Kryvorotko48111196113O. Gavryshko4369111162
LAug 16 · 01:25Y. Kryvorotko4711119792O. Gavryshko49881111113
LAug 14 · 16:55Y. Kryvorotko28661151O. Gavryshko4211119113
WAug 1 · 23:55Y. Kryvorotko5510111310113O. Gavryshko53129111292
WJul 25 · 14:25Y. Kryvorotko511181011113O. Gavryshko4031112592
Y. Kryvorotko10
WSep 18 · 20:25Y. Kryvorotko1.2291111113O. Mishchenko4.00116331LSep 18 · 18:25A. Chepurnyi2.20119138113Y. Kryvorotko1.61911111192WSep 18 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko1.83116111442Y. Kryvorotko1.83911316113WSep 18 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko1.3611119113P. Plakushchyi3.00531161WSep 18 · 14:25O. Gavryshko2.10511761Y. Kryvorotko1.6711811113WSep 14 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.2291111113O. Mishchenko4.00118271LSep 14 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko1.671111831O. Dukhovenko2.1013611113LSep 14 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.57711131172A. Chepurnyi2.251113114113WSep 13 · 22:55Y. Kryvorotko1.4051111123I. Demchenko2.751194101LSep 13 · 21:25Y. Kryvorotko1.306590P. Plakushchyi3.401111113
O. Gavryshko10
WSep 18 · 19:55O. Gavryshko1.40911914113P. Plakushchyi2.75117111282WSep 18 · 17:55O. Dukhovenko1.4411119582O. Gavryshko2.63561111113WSep 18 · 16:55O. Gavryshko1.36121244113O. Mishchenko3.001010111192WSep 18 · 15:55A. Chepurnyi1.83811111172O. Gavryshko1.83118138113LSep 18 · 14:25O. Gavryshko2.10511761Y. Kryvorotko1.6711811113WSep 16 · 12:05O. Gavryshko1.83911611113A. Lievshin1.8311411972WSep 16 · 10:05O. Kolbasenko2.501870O. Gavryshko1.501111113LSep 16 · 08:05V. Marushchak1.91911116113O. Gavryshko1.8011671162WSep 16 · 07:05O. Gavryshko1.5391211113A. Hrabskyi2.381110681WSep 16 · 06:05V. Mishchenko2.634660O. Gavryshko1.441111113
Upcoming Matches
Y. Kryvorotko
O. Gavryshko
Sep 20 · 24:55O. Gavryshko1.36O. Mishchenko3.00—Sep 20 · 02:55O. Gavryshko1.83A. Chepurnyi1.83—Sep 20 · 04:25O. Gavryshko1.73M. Smyrnov2.00—Sep 20 · 23:55O. Gavryshko1.53P. Plakushchyi2.38—Sep 21 · 01:25O. Gavryshko2.63O. Dukhovenko1.44—Sep 21 · 02:25O. Gavryshko1.83A. Chepurnyi1.83—Sep 21 · 03:25O. Gavryshko1.44O. Mishchenko2.63—
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