TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155204
Played Sep 20Finished
Yevhenii Kryvorotko
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117118811115––
Mykyta Smyrnov
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:11 and never touched — 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Kryvorotko to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Kryvorotko above · Mykyta Smyrnov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 72 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Yevhenii Kryvorotko at 66.7%
72 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:11What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kryvorotko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kryvorotko 1796 vs Smyrnov 1556
Kryvorotko
Correct
both rated, 240 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvorotko 80% vs Smyrnov 20%
Kryvorotko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvorotko 80% vs Smyrnov 30%
Kryvorotko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvorotko +4 · Smyrnov -2
Kryvorotko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kryvorotko) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Smyrnov form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvorotko 1.67 / Smyrnov 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Kryvorotko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13155204
Kryvorotko1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 124 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it93% 50 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it79% 81 of 103
Smyrnov2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 95 of 235
Down 0–1, comes back20% 24 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvorotkoSmyrnovBasisWin rate · lifetime318 / 502 vs 402 / 82163.4%49%318 / 502 vs 402 / 821Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvorotkoKryvorotko 1.67/Smyrnov 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.6%
Kryvorotko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kryvorotko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Y. Kryvorotko10
WSep 20 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko1.9111341642Y. Kryvorotko1.808111114113WSep 20 · 01:25Y. Kryvorotko1.611113113A. Chepurnyi2.2091180WSep 19 · 23:55Y. Kryvorotko1.22711713113O. Mishchenko4.00119111172WSep 19 · 21:55Y. Kryvorotko1.8011713213O. Gavryshko1.9171111191WSep 18 · 20:25Y. Kryvorotko1.2291111113O. Mishchenko4.00116331LSep 18 · 18:25A. Chepurnyi2.20119138113Y. Kryvorotko1.61911111192WSep 18 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko1.83116111442Y. Kryvorotko1.83911316113WSep 18 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko1.3611119113P. Plakushchyi3.00531161WSep 18 · 14:25O. Gavryshko2.10511761Y. Kryvorotko1.6711811113WSep 14 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.2291111113O. Mishchenko4.00118271
M. Smyrnov10
LSep 20 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko1.501113113M. Smyrnov2.5081170LSep 19 · 23:25M. Smyrnov2.209111011102A. Chepurnyi1.61118127123WSep 19 · 22:25O. Mishchenko2.25771151M. Smyrnov1.5711116113LSep 12 · 18:35A. Shypilov2.001112113M. Smyrnov1.7371050LSep 12 · 17:35S. Kalenyk2.201111113M. Smyrnov1.619550WSep 12 · 16:05O. Mitla1.8311101481M. Smyrnov1.8351216113LSep 12 · 14:05O. Napirko1.83111011113M. Smyrnov1.83312751LSep 12 · 12:05V. Boyko1.671071111113M. Smyrnov2.1012117642WSep 11 · 19:05Y. Kravets1.807890M. Smyrnov1.911111113LSep 11 · 17:35M. Smyrnov1.9111511782I. Romaniak1.80911511113
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