TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155571
Played Sep 20Finished
Oleg Gavryshko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
5111181012115118
Artem Chepurnyi
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleg Gavryshko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleg Gavryshko above · Artem Chepurnyi below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 92 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Oleg Gavryshko at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Oleg Gavryshko 48–55 Artem Chepurnyi Oleg Gavryshko has won 48 of their 103 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:07What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Chepurnyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
48-55 in 103
Chepurnyi
Wrong
gap of 7 in 103, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gavryshko 1855 vs Chepurnyi 1772
Gavryshko
Correct
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gavryshko 80% vs Chepurnyi 40%
Gavryshko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gavryshko 80% vs Chepurnyi 60%
Gavryshko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gavryshko +2 · Chepurnyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gavryshko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chepurnyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGavryshko 1.83 / Chepurnyi 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Gavryshko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13155571
Gavryshko1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Chepurnyi1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGavryshko6wins
AwayChepurnyi4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGavryshko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGavryshko75%6 of 8
AwayChepurnyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gavryshko8Chepurnyi2n = 10Gavryshko took 8 of 10
S2Gavryshko3Chepurnyi7n = 10Chepurnyi took 7 of 10
S3Gavryshko7Chepurnyi3n = 10Gavryshko took 7 of 10
S4Gavryshko3Chepurnyi5n = 8Chepurnyi took 5 of 8
S5Gavryshko2Chepurnyi2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGavryshkoChepurnyiG − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.240.5+0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGavryshkoChepurnyiBasisWin rate · lifetime341 / 619 vs 550 / 93155.1%59.1%341 / 619 vs 550 / 931Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GavryshkoGavryshko 1.83/Chepurnyi 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Gavryshko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Gavryshko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 15:55O. Gavryshko51118138113A. Chepurnyi48811111172
LSep 13 · 02:55O. Gavryshko35119781A. Chepurnyi3851111113
LSep 11 · 14:25O. Gavryshko176740A. Chepurnyi331111113
LSep 7 · 24:25O. Gavryshko53147111292A. Chepurnyi561211814113
WSep 5 · 22:25O. Gavryshko351113113A. Chepurnyi2791170
LSep 4 · 16:55O. Gavryshko49911118102A. Chepurnyi50119711123
WAug 29 · 22:55O. Gavryshko43111110113A. Chepurnyi38981291
WAug 28 · 15:55O. Gavryshko51128119113A. Chepurnyi49101181192
WAug 16 · 21:25O. Gavryshko4211911113A. Chepurnyi30811381
WAug 15 · 23:25O. Gavryshko3611311113A. Chepurnyi36911791
O. Gavryshko10
WSep 20 · 24:55O. Mishchenko3.00781171O. Gavryshko1.3611118113WSep 19 · 22:55O. Dukhovenko1.44111115962O. Gavryshko2.63581711113LSep 19 · 21:55Y. Kryvorotko1.8011713213O. Gavryshko1.9171111191WSep 18 · 19:55O. Gavryshko1.40911914113P. Plakushchyi2.75117111282WSep 18 · 17:55O. Dukhovenko1.4411119582O. Gavryshko2.63561111113WSep 18 · 16:55O. Gavryshko1.36121244113O. Mishchenko3.001010111192WSep 18 · 15:55A. Chepurnyi1.83811111172O. Gavryshko1.83118138113LSep 18 · 14:25O. Gavryshko2.10511761Y. Kryvorotko1.6711811113WSep 16 · 12:05O. Gavryshko1.83911611113A. Lievshin1.8311411972WSep 16 · 10:05O. Kolbasenko2.501870O. Gavryshko1.501111113
A. Chepurnyi10
WSep 20 · 03:55O. Mishchenko2.6381111742A. Chepurnyi1.44115311113LSep 20 · 01:25Y. Kryvorotko1.611113113A. Chepurnyi2.2091180WSep 19 · 23:25M. Smyrnov2.209111011102A. Chepurnyi1.61118127123LSep 19 · 21:25O. Dukhovenko1.4411811113A. Chepurnyi2.63711391LSep 18 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko1.531111113A. Chepurnyi2.389770WSep 18 · 18:25A. Chepurnyi2.20119138113Y. Kryvorotko1.61911111192WSep 18 · 17:25A. Chepurnyi1.571111113P. Plakushchyi2.254380LSep 18 · 15:55A. Chepurnyi1.83811111172O. Gavryshko1.83118138113WSep 18 · 13:55A. Chepurnyi1.50111466113O. Mishchenko2.50912111172WSep 14 · 04:25A. Chepurnyi1.4481111113I. Demchenko2.63119661
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