TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vaclav Nohejl vs Martin Stefek 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Vaclav Nohejl
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511114911110811
Martin Stefek
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
How it is goingVaclav Nohejl above · Martin Stefek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-0
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 81 set 5, 8-11
81 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Nohejl 6–4 Martin Stefek Martin Stefek has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Nohejl beat Stefek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Nohejl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stefek form (0%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNohejl 1.40 / Stefek 2.75
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Nohejl)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13173200
Nohejl1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 47 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it75% 35 of 47
Stefek2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 178 of 413
Down 0–1, comes back22% 49 of 224
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 134
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNohejl6wins
AwayStefek4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderNohejl leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNohejl57.1%4 of 7
AwayStefek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nohejl7Stefek3n = 10Nohejl took 7 of 10
S2Nohejl7Stefek3n = 10Nohejl took 7 of 10
S3Nohejl4Stefek6n = 10Stefek took 6 of 10
S4Nohejl2Stefek5n = 7Stefek took 5 of 7
S5Nohejl3Stefek2n = 5Nohejl took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNohejlStefekN − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.738.5+3.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNohejlStefekBasisWin rate · lifetime91 / 159 vs 595 / 124357.2%47.9%91 / 159 vs 595 / 1243Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlNohejl 1.40/Stefek 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.7%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Stefek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 19:30V. Nohejl341211113M. Stefek2710980
WAug 15 · 13:30V. Nohejl50119118113M. Stefek4471171182
WAug 15 · 12:00V. Nohejl518111011113M. Stefek4211612492
WMay 31 · 15:00V. Nohejl381111163M. Stefek2776140
WMay 29 · 18:00V. Nohejl3711114113M. Stefek27781111
LMay 17 · 15:30V. Nohejl371161191M. Stefek4051113113
LMay 2 · 17:30V. Nohejl47111161092M. Stefek48771112113
LMay 2 · 15:00V. Nohejl247980M. Stefek331111113
WApr 25 · 11:00V. Nohejl50911118113M. Stefek4311781162
LApr 14 · 19:00V. Nohejl491111101162M. Stefek54991213113
V. Nohejl10
LSep 21 · 20:00V. Nohejl2.0012740R. Bartunek1.731411113WSep 21 · 19:30M. Stefek2.5010980V. Nohejl1.501211113LSep 21 · 18:00V. Nohejl1.44111211792J. Moravek2.63814811113LAug 22 · 21:05V. Nohejl1.619311101L. Krok2.2011116123LAug 22 · 20:30F. Briza1.67119139143V. Nohejl2.105111111122WAug 22 · 19:30V. Nohejl2.001111113L. Krok1.735760LAug 22 · 18:30T. Kolenic1.73111111133V. Nohejl2.001339111LAug 16 · 09:28J. Didi2.201111113V. Nohejl1.619390WAug 16 · 08:30D. Barton2.75631191V. Nohejl1.4011119113LAug 16 · 07:30V. Nohejl1.53111151182J. Didi2.38813118113
M. Stefek10
LSep 21 · 20:30J. Moravek1.5711911113M. Stefek2.25411471LSep 21 · 19:30M. Stefek2.5010980V. Nohejl1.501211113LSep 21 · 18:30R. Bartunek1.5061111113M. Stefek2.50117881LSep 21 · 02:58T. Regner1.831311113M. Stefek1.8311680LSep 21 · 02:30M. Stefek1.83111221142T. Regner1.83514117113WSep 21 · 01:30L. Sulava1.911111711122M. Stefek1.80137116143LSep 21 · 24:00M. Stefek1.671014115102R. Hasmanda2.101212811123LSep 20 · 23:00J. Pleskot1.911191011113M. Stefek1.8061112452WSep 19 · 13:30J. Strnad2.10106100M. Stefek1.671211123WSep 19 · 12:00M. Stefek1.33121011113P. Berdych3.251012861
Upcoming Matches
V. Nohejl
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M. Stefek
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