TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Radek Bartunek vs Jiri Moravek 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Radek Bartunek
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119118––––
Jiri Moravek
Away
2.08
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:59 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeRadek Bartunek to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Bartunek above · Jiri Moravek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 57 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Radek Bartunek at 56.9%
57 points played in total.
H2H Radek Bartunek 12–6 Jiri Moravek Jiri Moravek has won 6 of their 18 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Bartunek beat Moravek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:59What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (55%)
Bartunek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-6 in 18
Bartunek
Correct
gap of 6 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bartunek 1441 vs Moravek 1447
Moravek
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bartunek 80% vs Moravek 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bartunek 70% vs Moravek 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bartunek +3 · Moravek +1
Bartunek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Bartunek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moravek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBartunek 1.67 / Moravek 2.08
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Bartunek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13173199
Bartunek1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite68% won 105 of 154
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it86% 78 of 91
Moravek2.08
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 12 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back23% 5 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBartunek6wins
AwayMoravek4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBartunek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartunek83.3%5 of 6
AwayMoravek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bartunek6Moravek4n = 10Bartunek took 6 of 10
S2Bartunek6Moravek4n = 10Bartunek took 6 of 10
S3Bartunek4Moravek6n = 10Moravek took 6 of 10
S4Bartunek2Moravek4n = 6Moravek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartunekMoravekB − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.734.9−0.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartunekMoravekBasisWin rate · lifetime341 / 657 vs 85 / 17551.9%48.6%341 / 657 vs 85 / 175Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartunekBartunek 1.67/Moravek 2.08
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.7%
Bartunek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bartunek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 19:00R. Bartunek4011116123J. Moravek377911101
WMay 27 · 21:28R. Bartunek331111113J. Moravek216690
WMay 27 · 20:00R. Bartunek3911116113J. Moravek29931161
WMay 20 · 21:30R. Bartunek50111189113J. Moravek4276111172
LMay 20 · 18:30R. Bartunek24441151J. Moravek4211119113
WMay 12 · 19:00R. Bartunek49711118123J. Moravek46118611102
LApr 19 · 20:59R. Bartunek1811070J. Moravek341112113
WApr 19 · 19:00R. Bartunek331111113J. Moravek208840
LApr 1 · 21:06R. Bartunek391381081J. Moravek45111112113
LApr 1 · 20:00R. Bartunek228950J. Moravek331111113
R. Bartunek10
WSep 21 · 20:00V. Nohejl2.0012740R. Bartunek1.731411113WSep 21 · 19:00J. Moravek2.257911101R. Bartunek1.5711116123WSep 21 · 18:30R. Bartunek1.5061111113M. Stefek2.50117881LSep 17 · 03:00R. Bartunek1.9112117892V. Dolezal1.801091111113WSep 17 · 02:30J. Steffan1.9159150R. Bartunek1.801111173LSep 17 · 01:00P. Picek1.4091111123R. Bartunek2.751179101WSep 16 · 23:30R. Bartunek2.001211113V. Dolezal1.7310680LSep 16 · 22:00R. Bartunek2.2048170M. Smrcek1.611111193WSep 15 · 03:00R. Bartunek1.671311113M. Stefek2.1011970WSep 15 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.8311811113M. Stefek1.83311741
J. Moravek10
WSep 21 · 20:30J. Moravek1.5711911113M. Stefek2.25411471LSep 21 · 19:00J. Moravek2.257911101R. Bartunek1.5711116123WSep 21 · 18:00V. Nohejl1.44111211792J. Moravek2.63814811113WAug 30 · 21:29T. Regner1.4011391192J. Moravek2.75611119113WAug 30 · 20:30J. Didi3.00116671J. Moravek1.3681111113WAug 30 · 19:30J. Moravek2.001111113M. Stefek1.737690LAug 30 · 18:30T. Regner1.441111113J. Moravek2.638790LAug 27 · 21:28M. Stefek1.831011611113J. Moravek1.8312311662WAug 27 · 20:30J. Moravek1.501111113P. Berdych2.505970WAug 27 · 19:00J. Moravek1.8391111113J. Framberk1.83114891
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