TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Mykhailo Senyk vs Yuriy Shcherbak 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Mykhailo Senyk
Home
7.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711811115911––
Yuriy Shcherbak
Away
1.08
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:55 and never touched — 90.0% is still 90.0%
Graded at full timeYuriy Shcherbak to win
90.0%
90.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Senyk above · Yuriy Shcherbak below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Yuriy Shcherbak at 90.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Senyk 5–26 Yuriy Shcherbak Mykhailo Senyk has won 5 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:55What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.08 (87%)
Shcherbak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-26 in 31
Shcherbak
Correct
gap of 21 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Senyk 632 vs Shcherbak 922
Shcherbak
Correct
both rated, 290 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Senyk 60% vs Shcherbak 40%
Senyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Senyk 50% vs Shcherbak 30%
Senyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Senyk +2 · Shcherbak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 90% — Strong (leans Shcherbak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shcherbak form (40%) is below what odds imply (92%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSenyk 7.00 / Shcherbak 1.08
Signal prob.10% / 90%
Edge (Shcherbak)+3.4pp
Setka Cup · #13172878
Senyk7.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 19)
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog16% won 18 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back4% 3 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 54
Shcherbak1.08
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 17)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite79% won 85 of 108
Up 2–0, closes it98% 49 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it93% 65 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSenyk1wins
AwayShcherbak9wins
Shcherbak leads 9–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSenykn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayShcherbak100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Senyk2Shcherbak8n = 10Shcherbak took 8 of 10
S2Senyk3Shcherbak7n = 10Shcherbak took 7 of 10
S3Senyk1Shcherbak9n = 10Shcherbak took 9 of 10
S4Senyk0Shcherbak3n = 3Shcherbak took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricSenykShcherbakSenyk − ShcherbakBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match24.735.6−10.9per matchSweeps16−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSenykShcherbakBasisWin rate · lifetime147 / 353 vs 143 / 26741.6%53.6%147 / 353 vs 143 / 267Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.035.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShcherbakSenyk 7.00/Shcherbak 1.08
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
90%
Shcherbak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Shcherbak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 18 · 10:55M. Senyk206950Y. Shcherbak331111113
LAug 17 · 18:55M. Senyk163940Y. Shcherbak331111113
LAug 14 · 12:55M. Senyk33119581Y. Shcherbak4071111113
LJul 17 · 17:25M. Senyk351011681Y. Shcherbak4212811113
LJun 12 · 08:25M. Senyk188640Y. Shcherbak331111113
LJun 11 · 14:55M. Senyk176470Y. Shcherbak331111113
LJun 8 · 16:25M. Senyk2513750Y. Shcherbak371511113
WJun 6 · 05:55M. Senyk341112113Y. Shcherbak2791080
LJun 5 · 14:55M. Senyk175930Y. Shcherbak331111113
LMay 28 · 11:55M. Senyk32714561Y. Shcherbak45111211113
M. Senyk10
LSep 22 · 05:55M. Senyk5.001014751B. Pyrtyk1.14121211113WSep 19 · 10:55M. Senyk1.2813116113M. Kornijchuk3.501191181WSep 19 · 08:55P. Chyzh1.118690M. Senyk6.001111113LSep 19 · 07:55M. Senyk3.005149101O. Bolnyh1.36111211123LSep 19 · 06:55B. Pyrtyk1.171111153M. Senyk4.5046130WSep 19 · 05:25M. Senyk1.67781111113V. Sydorchuk2.1011114872WSep 18 · 17:55M. Senyk1.441111113V. Moroz2.633880WSep 18 · 16:25M. Senyk1.531211113M. Kornijchuk2.3810620LSep 18 · 14:55M. Senyk3.0089100O. Bolnyh1.361111123LSep 18 · 13:25M. Senyk6.5011716472P. Chyzh1.109111411113
Y. Shcherbak10
WSep 22 · 06:25V. Sydorchuk4.00911761Y. Shcherbak1.2211811113WSep 17 · 10:25V. Ivanytskyi1.50511981Y. Shcherbak2.5011711113LSep 17 · 09:25Y. Shcherbak3.4010990O. Maslovskyi1.301211113LSep 17 · 08:25Y. Shcherbak3.251011771M. Dunas1.3312711113LSep 17 · 06:55Y. Shcherbak6.001151051A. Nikolenko1.1191112113WSep 17 · 04:55Y. Shcherbak1.6791311113B. Pyrtyk2.101111681LSep 16 · 18:25Y. Shcherbak2.20511931M. Dunas1.6111611113LSep 16 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi1.5011119113Y. Shcherbak2.50771121LSep 16 · 15:25Y. Shcherbak4.0011511962I. Fokin1.22911611113LSep 16 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.131111113Y. Shcherbak5.502590
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