TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155396
Played Sep 19Finished
Mykhailo Senyk
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311119611118––
Mykyta Kornijchuk
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:52 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Senyk to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Senyk above · Mykyta Kornijchuk below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 80 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Mykhailo Senyk at 56.4%
80 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Senyk 2–1 Mykyta Kornijchuk Mykyta Kornijchuk has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:52What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Senyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Senyk 626 vs Kornijchuk 422
Senyk
Correct
both rated, 203 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Senyk 60% vs Kornijchuk 20%
Senyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Senyk 40% vs Kornijchuk 10%
Senyk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Senyk +1 · Kornijchuk -4
Kornijchuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Senyk) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Senyk form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSenyk 1.28 / Kornijchuk 3.50
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Senyk)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13155396
Senyk1.28
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 75 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it93% 42 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it82% 54 of 66
Kornijchuk3.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSenyk2wins
AwayKornijchuk1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSenyk leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSenyk66.7%2 of 3
AwayKornijchukn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Senyk3Kornijchuk0n = 3Senyk took 3 of 3
S2Senyk3Kornijchuk0n = 3Senyk took 3 of 3
S3Senyk2Kornijchuk1n = 3Senyk took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSenykKornijchukS − KBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match39.027.7+11.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSenykKornijchukBasisWin rate · lifetime148 / 357 vs 5 / 2241.5%22.7%148 / 357 vs 5 / 22Avg sets wonper match1.71.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.030.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SenykSenyk 1.28/Kornijchuk 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.1%
Senyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Senyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 18 · 16:25M. Senyk341211113M. Kornijchuk1810620
LSep 13 · 06:55M. Senyk49111181182M. Kornijchuk47931113113
WSep 12 · 12:55M. Senyk341111123M. Kornijchuk1844100
M. Senyk10
WSep 19 · 08:55P. Chyzh1.118690M. Senyk6.001111113LSep 19 · 07:55M. Senyk3.005149101O. Bolnyh1.36111211123LSep 19 · 06:55B. Pyrtyk1.171111153M. Senyk4.5046130WSep 19 · 05:25M. Senyk1.67781111113V. Sydorchuk2.1011114872WSep 18 · 17:55M. Senyk1.441111113V. Moroz2.633880WSep 18 · 16:25M. Senyk1.531211113M. Kornijchuk2.3810620LSep 18 · 14:55M. Senyk3.0089100O. Bolnyh1.361111123LSep 18 · 13:25M. Senyk6.5011716472P. Chyzh1.109111411113LSep 18 · 11:55M. Senyk1.73111141182V. Sydorchuk2.00136118113LSep 13 · 10:55M. Senyk1.284690V. Moroz3.501111113
M. Kornijchuk10
LSep 19 · 09:55O. Bolnyh1.171111113M. Kornijchuk4.505390LSep 19 · 08:25B. Pyrtyk1.221111113M. Kornijchuk4.003940LSep 19 · 06:25V. Sydorchuk1.33911116113M. Kornijchuk3.2511891182LSep 19 · 04:23P. Chyzh1.2091111113M. Kornijchuk4.33116561WSep 18 · 18:25M. Kornijchuk4.00118711113V. Sydorchuk1.2261111652LSep 18 · 16:25M. Senyk1.531211113M. Kornijchuk2.3810620LSep 18 · 15:25M. Kornijchuk7.00124971P. Chyzh1.08101111113LSep 18 · 14:25V. Moroz2.25981111113M. Kornijchuk1.5711119992LSep 18 · 12:55M. Kornijchuk3.40511291O. Bolnyh1.3011811113LSep 13 · 10:25P. Chyzh1.301111123M. Kornijchuk3.4033100
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.