TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155192
Played Sep 19Finished
Oleksandr Bolnyh
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115113119––––
Mykyta Kornijchuk
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:16 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Bolnyh to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Bolnyh above · Mykyta Kornijchuk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 50 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Oleksandr Bolnyh at 73.2%
50 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Bolnyh 2–0 Mykyta Kornijchuk Mykyta Kornijchuk has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:16What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Bolnyh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Bolnyh 776 vs Kornijchuk 432
Bolnyh
Correct
both rated, 343 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bolnyh 40% vs Kornijchuk 20%
Bolnyh
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bolnyh 50% vs Kornijchuk 10%
Bolnyh
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bolnyh +1 · Kornijchuk -3
Kornijchuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Bolnyh) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bolnyh form (40%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBolnyh 1.17 / Kornijchuk 4.50
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Bolnyh)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13155192
Bolnyh1.17
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 42 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it81% 34 of 42
Kornijchuk4.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBolnyh2wins
AwayKornijchuk0wins
Bolnyh leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBolnyhKornijchukB − KBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match37.022.5+14.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBolnyhKornijchukBasisWin rate · lifetime87 / 195 vs 5 / 2144.6%23.8%87 / 195 vs 5 / 21Avg sets wonper match1.91.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.431.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BolnyhBolnyh 1.17/Kornijchuk 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Bolnyh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bolnyh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 18 · 12:55O. Bolnyh4111811113M. Kornijchuk27511291
WSep 5 · 07:25O. Bolnyh331111113M. Kornijchuk185670
O. Bolnyh10
WSep 19 · 07:55M. Senyk3.005149101O. Bolnyh1.36111211123LSep 19 · 05:55P. Chyzh1.28115116123O. Bolnyh3.50711411102LSep 19 · 04:55B. Pyrtyk1.331081111113O. Bolnyh3.2512118632LSep 18 · 18:55O. Bolnyh2.7566100P. Chyzh1.401111123WSep 18 · 16:55V. Moroz4.00115471O. Bolnyh1.2261111113WSep 18 · 14:55M. Senyk3.0089100O. Bolnyh1.361111123WSep 18 · 13:55O. Bolnyh1.73128412113V. Sydorchuk2.001011111042WSep 18 · 12:55M. Kornijchuk3.40511291O. Bolnyh1.3011811113LSep 10 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.1711129113O. Bolnyh4.509101151LSep 10 · 09:55I. Fokin1.17611117113O. Bolnyh4.5011971192
M. Kornijchuk10
LSep 19 · 08:25B. Pyrtyk1.221111113M. Kornijchuk4.003940LSep 19 · 06:25V. Sydorchuk1.33911116113M. Kornijchuk3.2511891182LSep 19 · 04:23P. Chyzh1.2091111113M. Kornijchuk4.33116561WSep 18 · 18:25M. Kornijchuk4.00118711113V. Sydorchuk1.2261111652LSep 18 · 16:25M. Senyk1.531211113M. Kornijchuk2.3810620LSep 18 · 15:25M. Kornijchuk7.00124971P. Chyzh1.08101111113LSep 18 · 14:25V. Moroz2.25981111113M. Kornijchuk1.5711119992LSep 18 · 12:55M. Kornijchuk3.40511291O. Bolnyh1.3011811113LSep 13 · 10:25P. Chyzh1.301111123M. Kornijchuk3.4033100LSep 13 · 09:25M. Kornijchuk3.257790V. Sydorchuk1.331111113
Upcoming Matches
O. Bolnyh
M. Kornijchuk
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