TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148506
Played Sep 18Finished
Oleksandr Bolnyh
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6116111012––––
Pavlo Chyzh
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 12Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 12
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:16 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timePavlo Chyzh to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Bolnyh above · Pavlo Chyzh below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 56 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Pavlo Chyzh at 68.8%
56 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Bolnyh 1–1 Pavlo Chyzh Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:16What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Chyzh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Bolnyh 795 vs Chyzh 935
Chyzh
Correct
both rated, 139 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bolnyh 80% vs Chyzh 100%
Chyzh
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bolnyh 40% vs Chyzh 100%
Chyzh
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bolnyh +4 · Chyzh +12
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Chyzh) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chyzh form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBolnyh 2.75 / Chyzh 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Chyzh)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13148506
Bolnyh2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 36 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46
Chyzh1.40
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 12
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 39 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it76% 25 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBolnyh1wins
AwayChyzh1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBolnyhChyzhB − CBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match44.544.0+0.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBolnyhChyzhBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 191 vs 93 / 21945%42.5%86 / 191 vs 93 / 219Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.435.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChyzhBolnyh 2.75/Chyzh 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Chyzh · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Chyzh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 30 · 10:25O. Bolnyh49117119113P. Chyzh4391191132
LAug 29 · 18:25O. Bolnyh401198121P. Chyzh4591111143
O. Bolnyh10
WSep 18 · 16:55V. Moroz4.00115471O. Bolnyh1.2261111113WSep 18 · 14:55M. Senyk3.0089100O. Bolnyh1.361111123WSep 18 · 13:55O. Bolnyh1.73128412113V. Sydorchuk2.001011111042WSep 18 · 12:55M. Kornijchuk3.40511291O. Bolnyh1.3011811113LSep 10 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.1711129113O. Bolnyh4.509101151LSep 10 · 09:55I. Fokin1.17611117113O. Bolnyh4.5011971192LSep 10 · 08:25A. Nikolenko1.131113113O. Bolnyh5.5081170LSep 10 · 06:25V. Ivanytskyi1.141111113O. Bolnyh5.008840LSep 10 · 04:25M. Dunas1.171111113O. Bolnyh4.509360LSep 9 · 18:25I. Fokin1.5012119113O. Bolnyh2.501091191
P. Chyzh10
WSep 18 · 17:25P. Chyzh1.531111113V. Sydorchuk2.387920WSep 18 · 15:25M. Kornijchuk7.00124971P. Chyzh1.08101111113WSep 18 · 13:25M. Senyk6.5011716472P. Chyzh1.109111411113WSep 18 · 12:25V. Moroz5.5011951132P. Chyzh1.13911115113WSep 13 · 10:25P. Chyzh1.301111123M. Kornijchuk3.4033100WSep 13 · 08:55P. Chyzh1.201311113M. Senyk4.3311690WSep 13 · 07:25P. Chyzh1.73111113113V. Sydorchuk2.00961541WSep 13 · 05:55P. Chyzh1.259111011113O. Kulbach3.7511312792WSep 13 · 04:25P. Chyzh1.2211515113V. Moroz4.007111341WSep 12 · 17:55P. Chyzh1.228101111113V. Moroz4.0011128972
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