TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148300
Played Sep 18Finished
Pavlo Chyzh
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 11Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 11
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119112––––
Viktor Sydorchuk
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:02 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timePavlo Chyzh to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavlo Chyzh above · Viktor Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 51 set 3, 11-2 — our read held Pavlo Chyzh at 60.8%
51 points played in total.
H2H Pavlo Chyzh 1–3 Viktor Sydorchuk Pavlo Chyzh has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:02What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Chyzh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Sydorchuk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chyzh 926 vs Sydorchuk 743
Chyzh
Correct
both rated, 183 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chyzh 100% vs Sydorchuk 80%
Chyzh
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chyzh 100% vs Sydorchuk 70%
Chyzh
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chyzh +11 · Sydorchuk +1
Chyzh
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Chyzh) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorchuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChyzh 1.53 / Sydorchuk 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Chyzh)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13148300
Chyzh1.53
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 11
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 39 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it76% 25 of 33
Sydorchuk2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 50 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back11% 8 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeChyzh1wins
AwaySydorchuk3wins
Sydorchuk leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChyzhn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySydorchuk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chyzh1Sydorchuk3n = 4Sydorchuk took 3 of 4
S2Chyzh3Sydorchuk1n = 4Chyzh took 3 of 4
S3Chyzh1Sydorchuk3n = 4Sydorchuk took 3 of 4
S4Chyzh1Sydorchuk3n = 4Sydorchuk took 3 of 4
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away375%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricChyzhSydorchukC − SBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match33.539.5−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChyzhSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime92 / 218 vs 148 / 34042.2%43.5%92 / 218 vs 148 / 340Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.936.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChyzhChyzh 1.53/Sydorchuk 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.6%
Chyzh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Chyzh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 13 · 07:25P. Chyzh46111113113V. Sydorchuk34961541
LSep 12 · 11:55P. Chyzh21211441V. Sydorchuk4211911113
LAug 30 · 06:55P. Chyzh361111951V. Sydorchuk4413911113
LAug 29 · 12:55P. Chyzh31881141V. Sydorchuk3811115113
P. Chyzh10
WSep 18 · 15:25M. Kornijchuk7.00124971P. Chyzh1.08101111113WSep 18 · 13:25M. Senyk6.5011716472P. Chyzh1.109111411113WSep 18 · 12:25V. Moroz5.5011951132P. Chyzh1.13911115113WSep 13 · 10:25P. Chyzh1.301111123M. Kornijchuk3.4033100WSep 13 · 08:55P. Chyzh1.201311113M. Senyk4.3311690WSep 13 · 07:25P. Chyzh1.73111113113V. Sydorchuk2.00961541WSep 13 · 05:55P. Chyzh1.259111011113O. Kulbach3.7511312792WSep 13 · 04:25P. Chyzh1.2211515113V. Moroz4.007111341WSep 12 · 17:55P. Chyzh1.228101111113V. Moroz4.0011128972WSep 12 · 16:25P. Chyzh1.501113113M. Senyk2.5071160
V. Sydorchuk10
WSep 18 · 15:55V. Moroz4.334830V. Sydorchuk1.201111113LSep 18 · 13:55O. Bolnyh1.73128412113V. Sydorchuk2.001011111042WSep 18 · 11:55M. Senyk1.73111141182V. Sydorchuk2.00136118113WSep 13 · 11:25V. Sydorchuk1.141111113O. Kulbach5.007520WSep 13 · 09:25M. Kornijchuk3.257790V. Sydorchuk1.331111113LSep 13 · 07:25P. Chyzh1.73111113113V. Sydorchuk2.00961541WSep 13 · 06:25V. Sydorchuk1.2251111113V. Moroz4.00116981WSep 13 · 05:25M. Senyk1.5081111232V. Sydorchuk2.50116511113LSep 12 · 18:25M. Senyk1.731111103V. Sydorchuk2.006990WSep 12 · 17:25O. Kulbach5.00911651V. Sydorchuk1.141181173
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