TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13157740
Played Sep 19Finished
Pavlo Chyzh
Home
1.20
At publish
Won last 13Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 13
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911116115116––
Mykyta Kornijchuk
Away
4.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingPavlo Chyzh above · Mykyta Kornijchuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 70 set 4, 11-6
70 points played in total.
H2H Pavlo Chyzh 3–0 Mykyta Kornijchuk Mykyta Kornijchuk has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 13h before this match
Chyzh beat Kornijchuk 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Chyzh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chyzh form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChyzh 1.20 / Kornijchuk 4.33
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Chyzh)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13157740
Chyzh1.20
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 13
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 39 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it76% 25 of 33
Kornijchuk4.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeChyzh3wins
AwayKornijchuk0wins
Chyzh leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chyzh2Kornijchuk1n = 3Chyzh took 2 of 3
S2Chyzh2Kornijchuk1n = 3Chyzh took 2 of 3
S3Chyzh3Kornijchuk0n = 3Chyzh took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricChyzhKornijchukC − KBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match40.727.7+13.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChyzhKornijchukBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 220 vs 5 / 1842.7%27.8%94 / 220 vs 5 / 18Avg sets wonper match1.81.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.831.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChyzhChyzh 1.20/Kornijchuk 4.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.3%
Chyzh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chyzh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 18 · 15:25P. Chyzh43101111113M. Kornijchuk32124971
WSep 13 · 10:25P. Chyzh341111123M. Kornijchuk1633100
WSep 12 · 14:55P. Chyzh4513912113M. Kornijchuk3511111031
P. Chyzh10
WSep 19 · 05:55P. Chyzh1.28115116123O. Bolnyh3.50711411102WSep 18 · 18:55O. Bolnyh2.7566100P. Chyzh1.401111123WSep 18 · 17:25P. Chyzh1.531111113V. Sydorchuk2.387920WSep 18 · 15:25M. Kornijchuk7.00124971P. Chyzh1.08101111113WSep 18 · 13:25M. Senyk6.5011716472P. Chyzh1.109111411113WSep 18 · 12:25V. Moroz5.5011951132P. Chyzh1.13911115113WSep 13 · 10:25P. Chyzh1.301111123M. Kornijchuk3.4033100WSep 13 · 08:55P. Chyzh1.201311113M. Senyk4.3311690WSep 13 · 07:25P. Chyzh1.73111113113V. Sydorchuk2.00961541WSep 13 · 05:55P. Chyzh1.259111011113O. Kulbach3.7511312792
M. Kornijchuk10
WSep 18 · 18:25M. Kornijchuk4.00118711113V. Sydorchuk1.2261111652LSep 18 · 16:25M. Senyk1.531211113M. Kornijchuk2.3810620LSep 18 · 15:25M. Kornijchuk7.00124971P. Chyzh1.08101111113LSep 18 · 14:25V. Moroz2.25981111113M. Kornijchuk1.5711119992LSep 18 · 12:55M. Kornijchuk3.40511291O. Bolnyh1.3011811113LSep 13 · 10:25P. Chyzh1.301111123M. Kornijchuk3.4033100LSep 13 · 09:25M. Kornijchuk3.257790V. Sydorchuk1.331111113WSep 13 · 08:25M. Kornijchuk1.6711117113V. Moroz2.10681151WSep 13 · 06:55M. Kornijchuk2.38931113113M. Senyk1.53111181182LSep 13 · 04:55M. Kornijchuk1.283970O. Kulbach3.501111113
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