TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155502
Played Sep 19Finished
Bohdan Pyrtyk
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012811118116113
Oleksandr Bolnyh
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:02 and never touched — 72.5% is still 72.5%
Graded at full timeBohdan Pyrtyk to win
72.5%
72.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBohdan Pyrtyk above · Oleksandr Bolnyh below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 91 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Bohdan Pyrtyk at 72.5%
91 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Pyrtyk 8–1 Oleksandr Bolnyh Oleksandr Bolnyh has won 1 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:02What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Pyrtyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-1 in 9
Pyrtyk
Correct
gap of 7 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pyrtyk 844 vs Bolnyh 785
Pyrtyk
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pyrtyk 20% vs Bolnyh 80%
Bolnyh
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pyrtyk 60% vs Bolnyh 40%
Pyrtyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pyrtyk -3 · Bolnyh -1
Pyrtyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Pyrtyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bolnyh form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPyrtyk 1.33 / Bolnyh 3.25
Signal prob.73% / 28%
Edge (Pyrtyk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13155502
Pyrtyk1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite72% won 46 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it88% 36 of 41
Bolnyh3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 36 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomePyrtyk8wins
AwayBolnyh1wins
4 of 9 to a deciderPyrtyk leads 8–1, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePyrtyk100%7 of 7
AwayBolnyhn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pyrtyk7Bolnyh2n = 9Pyrtyk took 7 of 9
S2Pyrtyk7Bolnyh2n = 9Pyrtyk took 7 of 9
S3Pyrtyk7Bolnyh2n = 9Pyrtyk took 7 of 9
S4Pyrtyk2Bolnyh2n = 4split evenly
S5Pyrtyk3Bolnyh1n = 4Pyrtyk took 3 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home556%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricPyrtykBolnyhP − BBasisWins81+7in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match40.633.2+7.4per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPyrtykBolnyhBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 314 vs 86 / 19244.9%44.8%141 / 314 vs 86 / 192Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PyrtykPyrtyk 1.33/Bolnyh 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.5%
Pyrtyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pyrtyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 13 · 04:55B. Pyrtyk361111143O. Bolnyh2769120
WJul 18 · 09:55B. Pyrtyk46811115113O. Bolnyh3911461172
WJul 10 · 09:25B. Pyrtyk331111113O. Bolnyh235990
LJul 2 · 04:55B. Pyrtyk47911611102O. Bolnyh43114115123
WJun 3 · 04:55B. Pyrtyk391216113O. Bolnyh26101420
WMay 27 · 10:05B. Pyrtyk471141110113O. Bolnyh4261161272
WMay 20 · 06:05B. Pyrtyk331111113O. Bolnyh249690
WApr 2 · 08:25B. Pyrtyk44115611113O. Bolnyh4181111832
WApr 1 · 16:25B. Pyrtyk401211173O. Bolnyh34109150
B. Pyrtyk10
LSep 17 · 11:25O. Maslovskyi1.441112113B. Pyrtyk2.6361010LSep 17 · 09:55B. Pyrtyk2.509940M. Dunas1.501111113LSep 17 · 07:55A. Nikolenko1.401111113B. Pyrtyk2.757240WSep 17 · 05:55V. Ivanytskyi1.3651070B. Pyrtyk3.001112113LSep 17 · 04:55Y. Shcherbak1.6791311113B. Pyrtyk2.101111681WSep 1 · 10:35B. Pyrtyk1.0891111113O. Kulbach7.00117891WSep 1 · 09:05B. Pyrtyk1.141111113V. Moroz5.004540WSep 1 · 07:35B. Pyrtyk1.1011115113A. Lanchut6.50241161WSep 1 · 06:05B. Pyrtyk1.13911116113M. Senyk5.5011961172WSep 1 · 04:35B. Pyrtyk1.57111122113V. Sydorchuk2.2549111172
O. Bolnyh10
LSep 19 · 05:55P. Chyzh1.28115116123O. Bolnyh3.50711411102LSep 18 · 18:55O. Bolnyh2.7566100P. Chyzh1.401111123WSep 18 · 16:55V. Moroz4.00115471O. Bolnyh1.2261111113WSep 18 · 14:55M. Senyk3.0089100O. Bolnyh1.361111123WSep 18 · 13:55O. Bolnyh1.73128412113V. Sydorchuk2.001011111042WSep 18 · 12:55M. Kornijchuk3.40511291O. Bolnyh1.3011811113LSep 10 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.1711129113O. Bolnyh4.509101151LSep 10 · 09:55I. Fokin1.17611117113O. Bolnyh4.5011971192LSep 10 · 08:25A. Nikolenko1.131113113O. Bolnyh5.5081170LSep 10 · 06:25V. Ivanytskyi1.141111113O. Bolnyh5.008840
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