TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142665
Played Sep 17Finished
Anatolii Nikolenko
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117112114––––
Bohdan Pyrtyk
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Nikolenko to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatolii Nikolenko above · Bohdan Pyrtyk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 46 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Anatolii Nikolenko at 65.7%
46 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Nikolenko 51–30 Bohdan Pyrtyk Bohdan Pyrtyk has won 30 of their 81 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:13What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Nikolenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
51-30 in 81
Nikolenko
Correct
gap of 21 in 81, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nikolenko 1030 vs Pyrtyk 821
Nikolenko
Correct
both rated, 210 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nikolenko 20% vs Pyrtyk 80%
Pyrtyk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nikolenko 40% vs Pyrtyk 80%
Pyrtyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nikolenko +1 · Pyrtyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Nikolenko) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pyrtyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNikolenko 1.40 / Pyrtyk 2.75
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Nikolenko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13142665
Nikolenko1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 89 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it98% 55 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it86% 70 of 81
Pyrtyk2.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 16 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back23% 6 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back18% 3 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNikolenko9wins
AwayPyrtyk1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderNikolenko leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNikolenko100%5 of 5
AwayPyrtyk20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nikolenko5Pyrtyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Nikolenko8Pyrtyk2n = 10Nikolenko took 8 of 10
S3Nikolenko8Pyrtyk2n = 10Nikolenko took 8 of 10
S4Nikolenko4Pyrtyk2n = 6Nikolenko took 4 of 6
S5Nikolenko3Pyrtyk0n = 3Nikolenko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricNikolenkoPyrtykN − PBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.330.0+11.3per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNikolenkoPyrtykBasisWin rate · lifetime323 / 690 vs 141 / 31546.8%44.8%323 / 690 vs 141 / 315Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NikolenkoNikolenko 1.40/Pyrtyk 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.7%
Nikolenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Nikolenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 07:55A. Nikolenko331111113B. Pyrtyk137240
WAug 22 · 06:55A. Nikolenko3811511113B. Pyrtyk36911881
WAug 15 · 06:55A. Nikolenko601811911113B. Pyrtyk4620911332
LJun 25 · 08:55A. Nikolenko4010121081B. Pyrtyk45121012113
WJun 5 · 14:25A. Nikolenko341111123B. Pyrtyk2046100
WApr 30 · 09:25A. Nikolenko341112113B. Pyrtyk2191020
WApr 23 · 10:55A. Nikolenko49881111113B. Pyrtyk3511114452
WApr 15 · 07:55A. Nikolenko50911118113B. Pyrtyk3811171182
WApr 9 · 08:55A. Nikolenko4291111113B. Pyrtyk31118661
WMar 19 · 12:25A. Nikolenko331111113B. Pyrtyk154650
A. Nikolenko10
WSep 17 · 06:55Y. Shcherbak6.001151051A. Nikolenko1.1191112113LSep 17 · 05:25A. Nikolenko3.40711761O. Maslovskyi1.3011811113LSep 16 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi1.3081111113A. Nikolenko3.40119461LSep 16 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00611111112V. Ivanytskyi1.36118115133LSep 16 · 15:55A. Nikolenko2.20134111382M. Dunas1.611111715113WSep 16 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.131111113Y. Shcherbak5.502590WSep 16 · 12:25A. Nikolenko2.0011128123I. Fokin1.7341011101LSep 10 · 10:25M. Dunas1.801111113A. Nikolenko1.917350LSep 10 · 09:25A. Nikolenko2.63115791V. Ivanytskyi1.4491111113WSep 10 · 08:25A. Nikolenko1.131113113O. Bolnyh5.5081170
B. Pyrtyk10
WSep 17 · 05:55V. Ivanytskyi1.3651070B. Pyrtyk3.001112113LSep 17 · 04:55Y. Shcherbak1.6791311113B. Pyrtyk2.101111681WSep 1 · 10:35B. Pyrtyk1.0891111113O. Kulbach7.00117891WSep 1 · 09:05B. Pyrtyk1.141111113V. Moroz5.004540WSep 1 · 07:35B. Pyrtyk1.1011115113A. Lanchut6.50241161WSep 1 · 06:05B. Pyrtyk1.13911116113M. Senyk5.5011961172WSep 1 · 04:35B. Pyrtyk1.57111122113V. Sydorchuk2.2549111172WAug 22 · 10:25O. Martynenko1.3351111792B. Pyrtyk3.25114711113WAug 22 · 09:25B. Pyrtyk1.611111113V. Sydorchuk2.202980LAug 22 · 08:25B. Pyrtyk2.6341280V. Ivanytskyi1.441114113
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