TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13154981
Played Sep 19Finished
Pavlo Chyzh
Home
1.11
At publish
Won last 16Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 16
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811611911––––
Mykhailo Senyk
Away
6.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:24 and never touched — 87.2% is still 87.2%
Graded at full timePavlo Chyzh to win
87.2%
87.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavlo Chyzh above · Mykhailo Senyk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 56 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Pavlo Chyzh at 87.2%
56 points played in total.
H2H Pavlo Chyzh 3–0 Mykhailo Senyk Mykhailo Senyk has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:24What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.11 (84%)
Chyzh
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Chyzh
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chyzh 959 vs Senyk 598
Chyzh
Wrong
both rated, 362 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chyzh 100% vs Senyk 60%
Chyzh
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chyzh 100% vs Senyk 30%
Chyzh
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chyzh +16 · Senyk -2
Chyzh
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Chyzh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Senyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (17%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChyzh 1.11 / Senyk 6.00
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Chyzh)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13154981
Chyzh1.11
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 16
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 44 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it77% 27 of 35
Senyk6.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog16% won 17 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back4% 3 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeChyzh3wins
AwaySenyk0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderChyzh leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chyzh2Senyk1n = 3Chyzh took 2 of 3
S2Chyzh3Senyk0n = 3Chyzh took 3 of 3
S3Chyzh2Senyk1n = 3Chyzh took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricChyzhSenykC − SBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match42.031.7+10.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChyzhSenykBasisWin rate · lifetime97 / 223 vs 147 / 35643.5%41.3%97 / 223 vs 147 / 356Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.935.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChyzhChyzh 1.11/Senyk 6.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
87.2%
Chyzh · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Senyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 18 · 13:25P. Chyzh569111411113M. Senyk4511716472
WSep 13 · 08:55P. Chyzh351311113M. Senyk2611690
WSep 12 · 16:25P. Chyzh351113113M. Senyk2471160
P. Chyzh10
WSep 19 · 07:25P. Chyzh1.25511511123V. Sydorchuk3.75118114102WSep 19 · 05:55P. Chyzh1.28115116123O. Bolnyh3.50711411102WSep 19 · 04:23P. Chyzh1.2091111113M. Kornijchuk4.33116561WSep 18 · 18:55O. Bolnyh2.7566100P. Chyzh1.401111123WSep 18 · 17:25P. Chyzh1.531111113V. Sydorchuk2.387920WSep 18 · 15:25M. Kornijchuk7.00124971P. Chyzh1.08101111113WSep 18 · 13:25M. Senyk6.5011716472P. Chyzh1.109111411113WSep 18 · 12:25V. Moroz5.5011951132P. Chyzh1.13911115113WSep 13 · 10:25P. Chyzh1.301111123M. Kornijchuk3.4033100WSep 13 · 08:55P. Chyzh1.201311113M. Senyk4.3311690
M. Senyk10
LSep 19 · 07:55M. Senyk3.005149101O. Bolnyh1.36111211123LSep 19 · 06:55B. Pyrtyk1.171111153M. Senyk4.5046130WSep 19 · 05:25M. Senyk1.67781111113V. Sydorchuk2.1011114872WSep 18 · 17:55M. Senyk1.441111113V. Moroz2.633880WSep 18 · 16:25M. Senyk1.531211113M. Kornijchuk2.3810620LSep 18 · 14:55M. Senyk3.0089100O. Bolnyh1.361111123LSep 18 · 13:25M. Senyk6.5011716472P. Chyzh1.109111411113LSep 18 · 11:55M. Senyk1.73111141182V. Sydorchuk2.00136118113LSep 13 · 10:55M. Senyk1.284690V. Moroz3.501111113LSep 13 · 08:55P. Chyzh1.201311113M. Senyk4.3311690
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