TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155642
Played Sep 19Finished
Pavlo Chyzh
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 15Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 15
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
5111185111141210
Viktor Sydorchuk
Away
3.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:34 and never touched — 77.4% is still 77.4%
Graded at full timePavlo Chyzh to win
77.4%
77.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavlo Chyzh above · Viktor Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 88 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Pavlo Chyzh at 77.4%
88 points played in total.
H2H Pavlo Chyzh 3–3 Viktor Sydorchuk Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:34What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Chyzh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chyzh 929 vs Sydorchuk 699
Chyzh
Correct
both rated, 231 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chyzh 100% vs Sydorchuk 40%
Chyzh
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chyzh 100% vs Sydorchuk 50%
Chyzh
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chyzh +15 · Sydorchuk +1
Chyzh
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Chyzh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorchuk form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChyzh 1.25 / Sydorchuk 3.75
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Chyzh)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13155642
Chyzh1.25
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 15
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 44 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it77% 27 of 35
Sydorchuk3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 51 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back11% 8 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeChyzh3wins
AwaySydorchuk3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChyzhn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySydorchuk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chyzh2Sydorchuk4n = 6Sydorchuk took 4 of 6
S2Chyzh5Sydorchuk1n = 6Chyzh took 5 of 6
S3Chyzh2Sydorchuk4n = 6Sydorchuk took 4 of 6
S4Chyzh2Sydorchuk3n = 5Sydorchuk took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away350%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricChyzhSydorchukC − SBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match35.236.7−1.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChyzhSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime97 / 224 vs 148 / 34543.3%42.9%97 / 224 vs 148 / 345Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.936.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChyzhChyzh 1.25/Sydorchuk 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.8%
Chyzh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Chyzh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 19 · 07:25P. Chyzh44511511123V. Sydorchuk44118114102
WSep 18 · 17:25P. Chyzh331111113V. Sydorchuk187920
WSep 13 · 07:25P. Chyzh46111113113V. Sydorchuk34961541
LSep 12 · 11:55P. Chyzh21211441V. Sydorchuk4211911113
LAug 30 · 06:55P. Chyzh361111951V. Sydorchuk4413911113
LAug 29 · 12:55P. Chyzh31881141V. Sydorchuk3811115113
P. Chyzh10
LSep 19 · 08:55P. Chyzh1.118690M. Senyk6.001111113WSep 19 · 05:55P. Chyzh1.28115116123O. Bolnyh3.50711411102WSep 19 · 04:23P. Chyzh1.2091111113M. Kornijchuk4.33116561WSep 18 · 18:55O. Bolnyh2.7566100P. Chyzh1.401111123WSep 18 · 17:25P. Chyzh1.531111113V. Sydorchuk2.387920WSep 18 · 15:25M. Kornijchuk7.00124971P. Chyzh1.08101111113WSep 18 · 13:25M. Senyk6.5011716472P. Chyzh1.109111411113WSep 18 · 12:25V. Moroz5.5011951132P. Chyzh1.13911115113WSep 13 · 10:25P. Chyzh1.301111123M. Kornijchuk3.4033100WSep 13 · 08:55P. Chyzh1.201311113M. Senyk4.3311690
V. Sydorchuk10
WSep 19 · 06:25V. Sydorchuk1.33911116113M. Kornijchuk3.2511891182LSep 19 · 05:25M. Senyk1.67781111113V. Sydorchuk2.1011114872LSep 18 · 18:25M. Kornijchuk4.00118711113V. Sydorchuk1.2261111652LSep 18 · 17:25P. Chyzh1.531111113V. Sydorchuk2.387920WSep 18 · 15:55V. Moroz4.334830V. Sydorchuk1.201111113LSep 18 · 13:55O. Bolnyh1.73128412113V. Sydorchuk2.001011111042WSep 18 · 11:55M. Senyk1.73111141182V. Sydorchuk2.00136118113WSep 13 · 11:25V. Sydorchuk1.141111113O. Kulbach5.007520WSep 13 · 09:25M. Kornijchuk3.257790V. Sydorchuk1.331111113LSep 13 · 07:25P. Chyzh1.73111113113V. Sydorchuk2.00961541
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