TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155426
Played Sep 19Finished
Bohdan Pyrtyk
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141161513––––
Mykhailo Senyk
Away
4.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:54 and never touched — 82.9% is still 82.9%
Graded at full timeBohdan Pyrtyk to win
82.9%
82.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBohdan Pyrtyk above · Mykhailo Senyk below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 15-13
Point 60 set 3, 15-13 — our read held Bohdan Pyrtyk at 82.9%
60 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Pyrtyk 20–3 Mykhailo Senyk Mykhailo Senyk has won 3 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:54What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Pyrtyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-3 in 23
Pyrtyk
Correct
gap of 17 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pyrtyk 860 vs Senyk 598
Pyrtyk
Correct
both rated, 263 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pyrtyk 40% vs Senyk 60%
Senyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pyrtyk 60% vs Senyk 40%
Pyrtyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pyrtyk +1 · Senyk +3
Senyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Pyrtyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Senyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPyrtyk 1.17 / Senyk 4.50
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (Pyrtyk)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13155426
Pyrtyk1.17
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite72% won 46 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it88% 36 of 41
Senyk4.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog16% won 17 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back4% 3 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePyrtyk10wins
AwaySenyk0wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPyrtyk leads 10–0, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePyrtyk100%8 of 8
AwaySenykn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pyrtyk8Senyk2n = 10Pyrtyk took 8 of 10
S2Pyrtyk7Senyk3n = 10Pyrtyk took 7 of 10
S3Pyrtyk10Senyk0n = 10Pyrtyk took 10 of 10
S4Pyrtyk3Senyk1n = 4Pyrtyk took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPyrtykSenykP − SBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.427.8+10.6per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPyrtykSenykBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 314 vs 147 / 35645.5%41.3%143 / 314 vs 147 / 356Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.135.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PyrtykPyrtyk 1.17/Senyk 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.9%
Pyrtyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pyrtyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 06:55B. Pyrtyk371111153M. Senyk2346130
WSep 1 · 06:05B. Pyrtyk48911116113M. Senyk4411961172
WAug 18 · 05:25B. Pyrtyk341211113M. Senyk2010460
WAug 17 · 12:25B. Pyrtyk4312911113M. Senyk371011971
WAug 13 · 09:25B. Pyrtyk331111113M. Senyk135530
WJul 18 · 11:25B. Pyrtyk331111113M. Senyk247890
WJul 10 · 10:25B. Pyrtyk506111111113M. Senyk4511135972
WJul 2 · 06:55B. Pyrtyk331111113M. Senyk248880
WJun 11 · 17:55B. Pyrtyk4011711113M. Senyk33911851
WJun 5 · 17:55B. Pyrtyk331111113M. Senyk155550
B. Pyrtyk10
WSep 19 · 04:55B. Pyrtyk1.331081111113O. Bolnyh3.2512118632LSep 17 · 11:25O. Maslovskyi1.441112113B. Pyrtyk2.6361010LSep 17 · 09:55B. Pyrtyk2.509940M. Dunas1.501111113LSep 17 · 07:55A. Nikolenko1.401111113B. Pyrtyk2.757240WSep 17 · 05:55V. Ivanytskyi1.3651070B. Pyrtyk3.001112113LSep 17 · 04:55Y. Shcherbak1.6791311113B. Pyrtyk2.101111681WSep 1 · 10:35B. Pyrtyk1.0891111113O. Kulbach7.00117891WSep 1 · 09:05B. Pyrtyk1.141111113V. Moroz5.004540WSep 1 · 07:35B. Pyrtyk1.1011115113A. Lanchut6.50241161WSep 1 · 06:05B. Pyrtyk1.13911116113M. Senyk5.5011961172
M. Senyk10
LSep 19 · 07:55M. Senyk3.005149101O. Bolnyh1.36111211123WSep 19 · 05:25M. Senyk1.67781111113V. Sydorchuk2.1011114872WSep 18 · 17:55M. Senyk1.441111113V. Moroz2.633880WSep 18 · 16:25M. Senyk1.531211113M. Kornijchuk2.3810620LSep 18 · 14:55M. Senyk3.0089100O. Bolnyh1.361111123LSep 18 · 13:25M. Senyk6.5011716472P. Chyzh1.109111411113LSep 18 · 11:55M. Senyk1.73111141182V. Sydorchuk2.00136118113LSep 13 · 10:55M. Senyk1.284690V. Moroz3.501111113LSep 13 · 08:55P. Chyzh1.201311113M. Senyk4.3311690LSep 1 · 06:05B. Pyrtyk1.13911116113M. Senyk5.5011961172
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