TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Viktor Sydorchuk vs Yuriy Shcherbak 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Viktor Sydorchuk
Home
4.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911118711611––
Yuriy Shcherbak
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:29 and never touched — 82.9% is still 82.9%
Graded at full timeYuriy Shcherbak to win
82.9%
82.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Sydorchuk above · Yuriy Shcherbak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 74 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Yuriy Shcherbak at 82.9%
74 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Sydorchuk 5–30 Yuriy Shcherbak Viktor Sydorchuk has won 5 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:29What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Shcherbak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-30 in 35
Shcherbak
Correct
gap of 25 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorchuk 696 vs Shcherbak 931
Shcherbak
Correct
both rated, 235 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorchuk 40% vs Shcherbak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorchuk 30% vs Shcherbak 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorchuk -2 · Shcherbak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Shcherbak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shcherbak form (40%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorchuk 4.00 / Shcherbak 1.22
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Shcherbak)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13172253
Sydorchuk4.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 52 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back11% 8 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 46
Shcherbak1.22
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite79% won 85 of 108
Up 2–0, closes it98% 49 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it93% 65 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorchuk2wins
AwayShcherbak8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderShcherbak leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorchuk66.7%2 of 3
AwayShcherbak100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorchuk3Shcherbak7n = 10Shcherbak took 7 of 10
S2Sydorchuk2Shcherbak8n = 10Shcherbak took 8 of 10
S3Sydorchuk5Shcherbak5n = 10split evenly
S4Sydorchuk0Shcherbak7n = 7Shcherbak took 7 of 7
S5Sydorchuk2Shcherbak1n = 3Sydorchuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorchukShcherbakSydorchuk − ShcherbakBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.240.3−7.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorchukShcherbakBasisWin rate · lifetime149 / 349 vs 145 / 26942.7%53.9%149 / 349 vs 145 / 269Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.535.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShcherbakSydorchuk 4.00/Shcherbak 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.9%
Shcherbak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Shcherbak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 06:25V. Sydorchuk33911761Y. Shcherbak4111811113
LAug 30 · 07:55V. Sydorchuk50119118112Y. Shcherbak48811511133
WAug 29 · 16:55V. Sydorchuk46119112133Y. Shcherbak46611711112
LAug 27 · 06:55V. Sydorchuk238780Y. Shcherbak331111113
LAug 26 · 16:25V. Sydorchuk32971241Y. Shcherbak43111110113
LAug 22 · 11:25V. Sydorchuk33711691Y. Shcherbak4011711113
LAug 21 · 13:25V. Sydorchuk28551171Y. Shcherbak4011117113
WAug 18 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk47118116113Y. Shcherbak4671191182
LAug 17 · 14:55V. Sydorchuk175750Y. Shcherbak331111113
LJul 17 · 15:25V. Sydorchuk237970Y. Shcherbak331111113
V. Sydorchuk10
LSep 22 · 05:25O. Martynenko1.7311115113V. Sydorchuk2.00691141LSep 19 · 11:25V. Sydorchuk2.00814971O. Bolnyh1.73111211113WSep 19 · 09:25B. Pyrtyk1.449790V. Sydorchuk2.631111113LSep 19 · 07:25P. Chyzh1.25511511123V. Sydorchuk3.75118114102WSep 19 · 06:25V. Sydorchuk1.33911116113M. Kornijchuk3.2511891182LSep 19 · 05:25M. Senyk1.67781111113V. Sydorchuk2.1011114872LSep 18 · 18:25M. Kornijchuk4.00118711113V. Sydorchuk1.2261111652LSep 18 · 17:25P. Chyzh1.531111113V. Sydorchuk2.387920WSep 18 · 15:55V. Moroz4.334830V. Sydorchuk1.201111113LSep 18 · 13:55O. Bolnyh1.73128412113V. Sydorchuk2.001011111042
Y. Shcherbak10
WSep 22 · 04:25M. Senyk7.00781191Y. Shcherbak1.0811115113WSep 17 · 10:25V. Ivanytskyi1.50511981Y. Shcherbak2.5011711113LSep 17 · 09:25Y. Shcherbak3.4010990O. Maslovskyi1.301211113LSep 17 · 08:25Y. Shcherbak3.251011771M. Dunas1.3312711113LSep 17 · 06:55Y. Shcherbak6.001151051A. Nikolenko1.1191112113WSep 17 · 04:55Y. Shcherbak1.6791311113B. Pyrtyk2.101111681LSep 16 · 18:25Y. Shcherbak2.20511931M. Dunas1.6111611113LSep 16 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi1.5011119113Y. Shcherbak2.50771121LSep 16 · 15:25Y. Shcherbak4.0011511962I. Fokin1.22911611113LSep 16 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.131111113Y. Shcherbak5.502590
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