TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleh Martynenko vs Viktor Sydorchuk 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Oleh Martynenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116119511114––
Viktor Sydorchuk
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:52 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeOleh Martynenko to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Martynenko above · Viktor Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 68 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Oleh Martynenko at 54.5%
68 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Martynenko 1–3 Viktor Sydorchuk Oleh Martynenko has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:52What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Martynenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Sydorchuk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martynenko 853 vs Sydorchuk 710
Martynenko
Correct
both rated, 143 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martynenko 20% vs Sydorchuk 40%
Sydorchuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martynenko 20% vs Sydorchuk 40%
Sydorchuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Martynenko -3 · Sydorchuk -1
Martynenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Martynenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martynenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartynenko 1.73 / Sydorchuk 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Martynenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13172342
Martynenko1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 31 days ago (Aug 22) · back after a break
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite37% won 23 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it63% 17 of 27
Sydorchuk2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 19)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 52 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back11% 8 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMartynenko1wins
AwaySydorchuk3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderSydorchuk leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartynenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySydorchuk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martynenko1Sydorchuk3n = 4Sydorchuk took 3 of 4
S2Martynenko3Sydorchuk1n = 4Martynenko took 3 of 4
S3Martynenko2Sydorchuk2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricMartynenkoSydorchukM − SBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match29.537.0−7.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartynenkoSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime148 / 339 vs 149 / 34743.7%42.9%148 / 339 vs 149 / 347Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.136.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartynenkoMartynenko 1.73/Sydorchuk 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Martynenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Martynenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 22 · 07:25O. Martynenko2610970V. Sydorchuk341211113
LAug 21 · 15:25O. Martynenko28211961V. Sydorchuk4011711113
LAug 18 · 04:55O. Martynenko3121111432V. Sydorchuk50118911113
WAug 17 · 11:55O. Martynenko331111113V. Sydorchuk249780
O. Martynenko10
LAug 22 · 10:25O. Martynenko1.3351111792B. Pyrtyk3.25114711113LAug 22 · 08:55O. Martynenko1.7311117732A. Nikolenko2.00751111113LAug 22 · 07:25O. Martynenko1.4410970V. Sydorchuk2.631211113WAug 22 · 05:55O. Martynenko2.201111143Y. Shcherbak1.6188120LAug 22 · 04:25O. Martynenko3.757880V. Ivanytskyi1.251111113LAug 21 · 18:25O. Martynenko2.109640I. Fokin1.67111153LAug 21 · 16:25Y. Shcherbak1.9161111113O. Martynenko1.80116751LAug 21 · 15:25O. Martynenko1.28211961V. Sydorchuk3.5011711113WAug 21 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.73815851O. Martynenko2.00111311113LAug 21 · 12:55O. Martynenko3.2561070V. Ivanytskyi1.331112113
V. Sydorchuk10
LSep 22 · 06:25V. Sydorchuk4.00911761Y. Shcherbak1.2211811113LSep 19 · 11:25V. Sydorchuk2.00814971O. Bolnyh1.73111211113WSep 19 · 09:25B. Pyrtyk1.449790V. Sydorchuk2.631111113LSep 19 · 07:25P. Chyzh1.25511511123V. Sydorchuk3.75118114102WSep 19 · 06:25V. Sydorchuk1.33911116113M. Kornijchuk3.2511891182LSep 19 · 05:25M. Senyk1.67781111113V. Sydorchuk2.1011114872LSep 18 · 18:25M. Kornijchuk4.00118711113V. Sydorchuk1.2261111652LSep 18 · 17:25P. Chyzh1.531111113V. Sydorchuk2.387920WAug 22 · 07:25O. Martynenko1.4410970V. Sydorchuk2.631211113WAug 21 · 15:25O. Martynenko1.28211961V. Sydorchuk3.5011711113
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