TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155463
Played Sep 19Finished
Viktor Sydorchuk
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111412911711––
Oleksandr Bolnyh
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:52 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Bolnyh to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Sydorchuk above · Oleksandr Bolnyh below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 83 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Oleksandr Bolnyh at 54.5%
83 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Sydorchuk 19–17 Oleksandr Bolnyh Oleksandr Bolnyh has won 17 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:52What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Bolnyh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-17 in 36
Sydorchuk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorchuk 721 vs Bolnyh 780
Bolnyh
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorchuk 40% vs Bolnyh 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorchuk 50% vs Bolnyh 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorchuk +1 · Bolnyh +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Bolnyh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bolnyh form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorchuk 2.00 / Bolnyh 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Bolnyh)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13155463
Sydorchuk2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 51 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back11% 8 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 46
Bolnyh1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 42 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it81% 34 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorchuk4wins
AwayBolnyh6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBolnyh leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorchuk60%3 of 5
AwayBolnyh80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorchuk5Bolnyh5n = 10split evenly
S2Sydorchuk7Bolnyh3n = 10Sydorchuk took 7 of 10
S3Sydorchuk9Bolnyh1n = 10Sydorchuk took 9 of 10
S4Sydorchuk0Bolnyh7n = 7Bolnyh took 7 of 7
S5Sydorchuk1Bolnyh4n = 5Bolnyh took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorchukBolnyhS − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.739.1+2.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorchukBolnyhBasisWin rate · lifetime149 / 346 vs 88 / 19643.1%44.9%149 / 346 vs 88 / 196Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BolnyhSydorchuk 2.00/Bolnyh 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Bolnyh · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bolnyh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 13:55V. Sydorchuk461011111042O. Bolnyh47128412113
LSep 5 · 11:25V. Sydorchuk388911101O. Bolnyh3711113123
LAug 30 · 08:55V. Sydorchuk4311911662O. Bolnyh47511911113
WAug 27 · 07:55V. Sydorchuk5511111111113O. Bolnyh5013781392
WAug 26 · 14:55V. Sydorchuk341211113O. Bolnyh2610880
WAug 13 · 05:55V. Sydorchuk331111113O. Bolnyh195680
LAug 12 · 18:55V. Sydorchuk395119141O. Bolnyh4311511163
WAug 7 · 11:25V. Sydorchuk331111113O. Bolnyh235990
LAug 6 · 11:25V. Sydorchuk4812911792O. Bolnyh491011611113
LAug 5 · 18:55V. Sydorchuk48811111262O. Bolnyh50118614113
V. Sydorchuk10
WSep 19 · 09:25B. Pyrtyk1.449790V. Sydorchuk2.631111113LSep 19 · 07:25P. Chyzh1.25511511123V. Sydorchuk3.75118114102WSep 19 · 06:25V. Sydorchuk1.33911116113M. Kornijchuk3.2511891182LSep 19 · 05:25M. Senyk1.67781111113V. Sydorchuk2.1011114872LSep 18 · 18:25M. Kornijchuk4.00118711113V. Sydorchuk1.2261111652LSep 18 · 17:25P. Chyzh1.531111113V. Sydorchuk2.387920WSep 18 · 15:55V. Moroz4.334830V. Sydorchuk1.201111113LSep 18 · 13:55O. Bolnyh1.73128412113V. Sydorchuk2.001011111042WSep 18 · 11:55M. Senyk1.73111141182V. Sydorchuk2.00136118113WSep 13 · 11:25V. Sydorchuk1.141111113O. Kulbach5.007520
O. Bolnyh10
WSep 19 · 09:55O. Bolnyh1.171111113M. Kornijchuk4.505390WSep 19 · 07:55M. Senyk3.005149101O. Bolnyh1.36111211123LSep 19 · 05:55P. Chyzh1.28115116123O. Bolnyh3.50711411102LSep 19 · 04:55B. Pyrtyk1.331081111113O. Bolnyh3.2512118632LSep 18 · 18:55O. Bolnyh2.7566100P. Chyzh1.401111123WSep 18 · 16:55V. Moroz4.00115471O. Bolnyh1.2261111113WSep 18 · 14:55M. Senyk3.0089100O. Bolnyh1.361111123WSep 18 · 13:55O. Bolnyh1.73128412113V. Sydorchuk2.001011111042WSep 18 · 12:55M. Kornijchuk3.40511291O. Bolnyh1.3011811113LSep 10 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.1711129113O. Bolnyh4.509101151
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