TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13143092
Played Sep 17Finished
Viktor Ivanytskyi
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511117911811––
Yuriy Shcherbak
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:41 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeViktor Ivanytskyi to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingViktor Ivanytskyi above · Yuriy Shcherbak below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Viktor Ivanytskyi at 65.7%
73 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Ivanytskyi 11–13 Yuriy Shcherbak Viktor Ivanytskyi has won 11 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:41What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-13 in 24
Shcherbak
Correct
gap of 2 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivanytskyi 1063 vs Shcherbak 896
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
both rated, 167 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivanytskyi 20% vs Shcherbak 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivanytskyi 30% vs Shcherbak 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivanytskyi -1 · Shcherbak -3
Shcherbak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Ivanytskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shcherbak form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvanytskyi 1.50 / Shcherbak 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Ivanytskyi)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13143092
Ivanytskyi1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite74% won 75 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it100% 40 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it86% 59 of 69
Shcherbak2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog25% won 23 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back13% 9 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIvanytskyi6wins
AwayShcherbak4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderIvanytskyi leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvanytskyi71.4%5 of 7
AwayShcherbak66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivanytskyi7Shcherbak3n = 10Ivanytskyi took 7 of 10
S2Ivanytskyi4Shcherbak6n = 10Shcherbak took 6 of 10
S3Ivanytskyi8Shcherbak2n = 10Ivanytskyi took 8 of 10
S4Ivanytskyi3Shcherbak2n = 5Ivanytskyi took 3 of 5
S5Ivanytskyi1Shcherbak2n = 3Shcherbak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricIvanytskyiShcherbakI − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.336.8+2.5per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvanytskyiShcherbakBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 188 vs 142 / 26659%53.4%111 / 188 vs 142 / 266Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.935.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvanytskyiIvanytskyi 1.50/Shcherbak 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Ivanytskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Shcherbak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 12:55V. Ivanytskyi37128891Y. Shcherbak43101111113
WAug 30 · 11:25V. Ivanytskyi331111113Y. Shcherbak258980
WAug 27 · 08:25V. Ivanytskyi483111211113Y. Shcherbak50111310882
LAug 26 · 15:25V. Ivanytskyi511110117122Y. Shcherbak52812711143
LAug 22 · 09:55V. Ivanytskyi47106111462Y. Shcherbak491211312113
WAug 21 · 14:55V. Ivanytskyi49111011173Y. Shcherbak429126151
WAug 14 · 18:55V. Ivanytskyi361411113Y. Shcherbak2912890
LAug 11 · 04:55V. Ivanytskyi2511860Y. Shcherbak351311113
WAug 10 · 14:55V. Ivanytskyi341112113Y. Shcherbak2361070
WJul 23 · 09:25V. Ivanytskyi331111113Y. Shcherbak208570
V. Ivanytskyi10
LSep 17 · 08:55V. Ivanytskyi1.401211671A. Nikolenko2.751451172WSep 17 · 07:25V. Ivanytskyi1.731111113O. Maslovskyi2.009470LSep 17 · 05:55V. Ivanytskyi1.3651070B. Pyrtyk3.001112113LSep 17 · 04:25V. Ivanytskyi1.919101111M. Dunas1.8011127113LSep 16 · 18:55V. Ivanytskyi1.9110980I. Fokin1.801211103WSep 16 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00611111112V. Ivanytskyi1.36118115133WSep 16 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi2.2549111162V. Ivanytskyi1.57111152113LSep 16 · 13:55V. Ivanytskyi1.73119591M. Dunas2.0081111113LSep 16 · 12:55Y. Shcherbak3.00101111113V. Ivanytskyi1.36128891LSep 10 · 11:25V. Ivanytskyi2.00611661I. Fokin1.7311911113
Y. Shcherbak10
LSep 17 · 09:25Y. Shcherbak3.4010990O. Maslovskyi1.301211113LSep 17 · 08:25Y. Shcherbak3.251011771M. Dunas1.3312711113LSep 17 · 06:55Y. Shcherbak6.001151051A. Nikolenko1.1191112113WSep 17 · 04:55Y. Shcherbak1.6791311113B. Pyrtyk2.101111681LSep 16 · 18:25Y. Shcherbak2.20511931M. Dunas1.6111611113LSep 16 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi1.5011119113Y. Shcherbak2.50771121LSep 16 · 15:25Y. Shcherbak4.0011511962I. Fokin1.22911611113LSep 16 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.131111113Y. Shcherbak5.502590WSep 16 · 12:55Y. Shcherbak3.00101111113V. Ivanytskyi1.36128891LAug 30 · 11:25V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113Y. Shcherbak2.638980
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