TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142024
Played Sep 17Finished
Viktor Ivanytskyi
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 2
Set by set
121411561177––
Anatolii Nikolenko
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:26 and never touched — 68.7% is still 68.7%
Graded at full timeViktor Ivanytskyi to win
68.7%
68.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingViktor Ivanytskyi above · Anatolii Nikolenko below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 7-7
Point 73 set 4, 7-7 — our read held Viktor Ivanytskyi at 68.7%
73 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Ivanytskyi 21–8 Anatolii Nikolenko Anatolii Nikolenko has won 8 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:26What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-8 in 29
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
gap of 13 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivanytskyi 1063 vs Nikolenko 1030
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivanytskyi 40% vs Nikolenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivanytskyi 40% vs Nikolenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivanytskyi +1 · Nikolenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Ivanytskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivanytskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvanytskyi 1.40 / Nikolenko 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Ivanytskyi)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13142024
Ivanytskyi1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite74% won 75 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it100% 40 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it86% 59 of 69
Nikolenko2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog30% won 35 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back20% 15 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIvanytskyi8wins
AwayNikolenko2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderIvanytskyi leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvanytskyi75%6 of 8
AwayNikolenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivanytskyi8Nikolenko2n = 10Ivanytskyi took 8 of 10
S2Ivanytskyi4Nikolenko6n = 10Nikolenko took 6 of 10
S3Ivanytskyi7Nikolenko3n = 10Ivanytskyi took 7 of 10
S4Ivanytskyi4Nikolenko3n = 7Ivanytskyi took 4 of 7
S5Ivanytskyi4Nikolenko1n = 5Ivanytskyi took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricIvanytskyiNikolenkoI − NBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.036.8+5.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvanytskyiNikolenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 187 vs 323 / 69059.4%46.8%111 / 187 vs 323 / 690Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvanytskyiIvanytskyi 1.40/Nikolenko 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.9%
Ivanytskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–2
Nikolenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 16:55V. Ivanytskyi48118115133A. Nikolenko40611111112
WSep 10 · 09:25V. Ivanytskyi4291111113A. Nikolenko32115791
LSep 9 · 12:25V. Ivanytskyi381189101A. Nikolenko4391111123
WSep 3 · 06:25V. Ivanytskyi331111113A. Nikolenko177370
WSep 2 · 15:55V. Ivanytskyi48117811113A. Nikolenko4371111862
WAug 27 · 06:25V. Ivanytskyi47581111123A. Nikolenko43111165102
WAug 26 · 12:25V. Ivanytskyi46115811113A. Nikolenko4461111882
WAug 22 · 10:55V. Ivanytskyi341111123A. Nikolenko2789100
LAug 21 · 16:55V. Ivanytskyi5015612982A. Nikolenko5613111011113
WAug 14 · 12:25V. Ivanytskyi341211113A. Nikolenko2310850
V. Ivanytskyi10
WSep 17 · 07:25V. Ivanytskyi1.731111113O. Maslovskyi2.009470LSep 17 · 05:55V. Ivanytskyi1.3651070B. Pyrtyk3.001112113LSep 17 · 04:25V. Ivanytskyi1.919101111M. Dunas1.8011127113LSep 16 · 18:55V. Ivanytskyi1.9110980I. Fokin1.801211103WSep 16 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00611111112V. Ivanytskyi1.36118115133WSep 16 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi2.2549111162V. Ivanytskyi1.57111152113LSep 16 · 13:55V. Ivanytskyi1.73119591M. Dunas2.0081111113LSep 16 · 12:55Y. Shcherbak3.00101111113V. Ivanytskyi1.36128891LSep 10 · 11:25V. Ivanytskyi2.00611661I. Fokin1.7311911113WSep 10 · 09:25A. Nikolenko2.63115791V. Ivanytskyi1.4491111113
A. Nikolenko10
WSep 17 · 07:55A. Nikolenko1.401111113B. Pyrtyk2.757240WSep 17 · 06:55Y. Shcherbak6.001151051A. Nikolenko1.1191112113LSep 17 · 05:25A. Nikolenko3.40711761O. Maslovskyi1.3011811113LSep 16 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi1.3081111113A. Nikolenko3.40119461LSep 16 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00611111112V. Ivanytskyi1.36118115133LSep 16 · 15:55A. Nikolenko2.20134111382M. Dunas1.611111715113WSep 16 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.131111113Y. Shcherbak5.502590WSep 16 · 12:25A. Nikolenko2.0011128123I. Fokin1.7341011101LSep 10 · 10:25M. Dunas1.801111113A. Nikolenko1.917350LSep 10 · 09:25A. Nikolenko2.63115791V. Ivanytskyi1.4491111113
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