TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Krystian Kolodziej vs Josef Braun 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Krystian Kolodziej
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311116117––––
Josef Braun
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:35 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeJosef Braun to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKrystian Kolodziej above · Josef Braun below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 59 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Josef Braun at 60.1%
59 points played in total.
H2H Krystian Kolodziej 4–8 Josef Braun Krystian Kolodziej has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:35What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Braun
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-8 in 12
Braun
Wrong
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolodziej 1790 vs Braun 1845
Braun
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolodziej 0% vs Braun 20%
Braun
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolodziej 20% vs Braun 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolodziej -5 · Braun -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Braun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Braun form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolodziej 2.25 / Braun 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Braun)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13169592
Kolodziej2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 64 of 191
Down 0–1, comes back16% 17 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 62
Braun1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 137 of 230
Up 2–0, closes it92% 73 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it75% 102 of 137
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolodziej4wins
AwayBraun6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBraun leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolodziej100%3 of 3
AwayBraun85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolodziej3Braun7n = 10Braun took 7 of 10
S2Kolodziej3Braun7n = 10Braun took 7 of 10
S3Kolodziej3Braun7n = 10Braun took 7 of 10
S4Kolodziej3Braun3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolodziejBraunK − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.036.9−4.9per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolodziejBraunBasisWin rate · lifetime1278 / 1898 vs 511 / 97967.3%52.2%1278 / 1898 vs 511 / 979Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BraunKolodziej 2.25/Braun 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Braun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolodziej won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 13 · 12:05K. Kolodziej32138110J. Braun391511133
LAug 10 · 09:00K. Kolodziej187740J. Braun331111113
WJul 22 · 11:40K. Kolodziej46117512113J. Braun47711111082
WFeb 20 · 19:15K. Kolodziej4181111113J. Braun31117851
LDec 6 · 21:40K. Kolodziej28691121J. Braun3811115113
LNov 16 · 20:30K. Kolodziej207940J. Braun331111113
WOct 21 · 18:35K. Kolodziej49111179113J. Braun4183111182
LOct 18 · 13:15K. Kolodziej176830J. Braun331111113
WOct 18 · 05:50K. Kolodziej4111811113J. Braun32411981
LJan 24 · 20:00K. Kolodziej281011161J. Braun4212811113
K. Kolodziej10
LSep 22 · 12:30G. Felkel1.531111113K. Kolodziej2.389990LSep 22 · 11:40J. Kosowski1.331111113K. Kolodziej3.256390LSep 22 · 10:50K. Kolodziej2.1071210151D. Michna1.67111012173LSep 22 · 09:40K. Kolodziej2.38101060A. Wiecek1.531212113LSep 11 · 15:25M. Olejnik1.531011811123K. Kolodziej2.38127114102WSep 11 · 14:35K. Wloczko2.251311661K. Kolodziej1.5715811113LSep 11 · 12:30J. Kuzmicz1.73111199113K. Kolodziej2.0097111182LSep 11 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.40911913113K. Kolodziej2.75118111152LSep 11 · 10:00K. Strowski2.00131111123K. Kolodziej1.731568101WSep 10 · 19:40K. Kolodziej1.731111113K. Kapik2.003960
J. Braun10
LSep 22 · 13:20D. Michna1.6711119113J. Braun2.10781171LSep 22 · 11:15G. Felkel1.361114113J. Braun3.0091260LSep 22 · 10:25A. Wiecek1.5781111113J. Braun2.25116691WSep 22 · 09:00J. Kosowski1.6161161192J. Braun2.20116114113LSep 22 · 07:45J. Braun1.7366100D. Michna2.001111123LSep 22 · 06:30J. Braun2.209640J. Kosowski1.611111113WSep 22 · 05:15J. Braun2.7591112113G. Felkel1.401171081WSep 22 · 04:10M. Murawski1.73611521J. Braun2.0011711113LSep 22 · 03:25J. Braun2.38111179112A. Wiecek1.53271111133LSep 15 · 14:10K. Strowski2.2011911113J. Braun1.61611961
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