TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Kosowski vs Krystian Kolodziej 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Jakub Kosowski
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116113119––––
Krystian Kolodziej
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:55 and never touched — 72.9% is still 72.9%
Graded at full timeJakub Kosowski to win
72.9%
72.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Kosowski above · Krystian Kolodziej below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 51 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Jakub Kosowski at 72.9%
51 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kosowski 10–4 Krystian Kolodziej Krystian Kolodziej has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:55What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Kosowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-4 in 14
Kosowski
Correct
gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosowski 1937 vs Kolodziej 1809
Kosowski
Correct
both rated, 129 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosowski 60% vs Kolodziej 20%
Kosowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosowski 80% vs Kolodziej 40%
Kosowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosowski -2 · Kolodziej -3
Kolodziej
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Kosowski) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolodziej form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosowski 1.33 / Kolodziej 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Kosowski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13169731
Kosowski1.33
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 270 of 406
Up 2–0, closes it95% 125 of 132
Up 1–0, closes it86% 212 of 248
Kolodziej3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 64 of 191
Down 0–1, comes back16% 17 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosowski7wins
AwayKolodziej3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKosowski leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosowski85.7%6 of 7
AwayKolodziej66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosowski7Kolodziej3n = 10Kosowski took 7 of 10
S2Kosowski6Kolodziej4n = 10Kosowski took 6 of 10
S3Kosowski6Kolodziej4n = 10Kosowski took 6 of 10
S4Kosowski3Kolodziej1n = 4Kosowski took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosowskiKolodziejKosowski − KolodziejBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match34.032.1+1.9per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosowskiKolodziejBasisWin rate · lifetime732 / 1244 vs 1278 / 189658.8%67.4%732 / 1244 vs 1278 / 1896Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosowskiKosowski 1.33/Kolodziej 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.9%
Kosowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kosowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 11:15J. Kosowski3411711142K. Kolodziej51911911113
WSep 7 · 10:50J. Kosowski331111113K. Kolodziej249780
LSep 1 · 12:30J. Kosowski228680K. Kolodziej331111113
WAug 18 · 09:20J. Kosowski4011116123K. Kolodziej333911101
WAug 16 · 14:10J. Kosowski371115113K. Kolodziej2681350
WAug 5 · 14:10J. Kosowski331111113K. Kolodziej196670
WAug 2 · 12:05J. Kosowski4616118113K. Kolodziej401491161
WJul 13 · 10:50J. Kosowski45841111113K. Kolodziej4111115682
WJul 8 · 10:00J. Kosowski331111113K. Kolodziej216870
LJul 3 · 13:45J. Kosowski174760K. Kolodziej331111113
J. Kosowski10
LSep 22 · 10:00J. Kosowski1.8041161172G. Felkel1.91117118113LSep 22 · 09:00J. Kosowski1.6161161192J. Braun2.20116114113WSep 22 · 08:05J. Kosowski1.5711711113G. Felkel2.25811861WSep 22 · 06:30J. Braun2.209640J. Kosowski1.611111113WSep 22 · 05:40M. Murawski1.833350J. Kosowski1.831111113WSep 22 · 04:55J. Kosowski2.0011511113A. Wiecek1.73611391WSep 22 · 03:45J. Kosowski1.4412101211113D. Michna2.63101214882WSep 18 · 15:00A. Grela2.3811712372J. Kosowski1.538111011113WSep 18 · 14:10J. Kuzmicz2.20119101142J. Kosowski1.61711129113WSep 18 · 13:20J. Kosowski1.44111011113J. Stecyszyn2.63912791
K. Kolodziej10
LSep 22 · 10:50K. Kolodziej2.1071210151D. Michna1.67111012173LSep 22 · 09:40K. Kolodziej2.38101060A. Wiecek1.531212113LSep 11 · 15:25M. Olejnik1.531011811123K. Kolodziej2.38127114102WSep 11 · 14:35K. Wloczko2.251311661K. Kolodziej1.5715811113LSep 11 · 12:30J. Kuzmicz1.73111199113K. Kolodziej2.0097111182LSep 11 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.40911913113K. Kolodziej2.75118111152LSep 11 · 10:00K. Strowski2.00131111123K. Kolodziej1.731568101WSep 10 · 19:40K. Kolodziej1.731111113K. Kapik2.003960WSep 10 · 18:30K. Kolodziej1.367111111113J. Mitas3.0011713392WSep 10 · 17:20K. Kolodziej1.2861111113K. Staszczyk3.50113631
Upcoming Matches
J. Kosowski
Sep 22 · 12:55J. Kosowski2.10A. Wiecek1.67—Sep 22 · 14:35J. Kosowski1.61D. Michna2.20—Sep 23 · 03:00J. Kosowski1.44J. Kuzmicz2.63—Sep 23 · 04:10J. Kosowski1.73S. Kolasa2.00—Sep 23 · 05:40J. Kosowski1.67A. Grela2.10—Sep 23 · 08:30J. Kosowski1.73J. Zandecki2.00—Sep 23 · 09:20J. Kosowski1.73S. Kolasa2.00—Sep 23 · 10:00J. Kosowski1.67A. Grela2.10—Sep 23 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.33K. Kolodziej3.25—Sep 23 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.73J. Zandecki2.00—
K. Kolodziej
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