TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Josef Braun vs Grzegorz Felkel 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Josef Braun
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111171210118––
Grzegorz Felkel
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:44 and never touched — 69.8% is still 69.8%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Felkel to win
69.8%
69.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJosef Braun above · Grzegorz Felkel below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 79 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Grzegorz Felkel at 69.8%
79 points played in total.
H2H Josef Braun 7–31 Grzegorz Felkel Josef Braun has won 7 of their 38 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:44What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Felkel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-31 in 38
Felkel
Wrong
gap of 24 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Braun 1856 vs Felkel 1929
Felkel
Wrong
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Braun 60% vs Felkel 100%
Felkel
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Braun 60% vs Felkel 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Braun +1 · Felkel +6
Felkel
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Felkel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Felkel form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBraun 2.75 / Felkel 1.40
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Felkel)+3.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13169320
Braun2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 82 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back24% 25 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 56
Felkel1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite62% won 222 of 356
Up 2–0, closes it93% 124 of 134
Up 1–0, closes it79% 165 of 208
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBraun4wins
AwayFelkel6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderFelkel leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBraun60%3 of 5
AwayFelkel80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Braun5Felkel5n = 10split evenly
S2Braun5Felkel5n = 10split evenly
S3Braun5Felkel5n = 10split evenly
S4Braun2Felkel4n = 6Felkel took 4 of 6
S5Braun1Felkel2n = 3Felkel took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBraunFelkelB − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match31.536.7−5.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBraunFelkelBasisWin rate · lifetime509 / 972 vs 692 / 117152.4%59.1%509 / 972 vs 692 / 1171Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FelkelBraun 2.75/Felkel 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.8%
Felkel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Braun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 13 · 13:20J. Braun21251131G. Felkel4011117113
WAug 3 · 13:20J. Braun3961111113G. Felkel31116771
LAug 3 · 08:05J. Braun165560G. Felkel331111113
WJul 30 · 06:30J. Braun331111113G. Felkel258890
WJul 13 · 04:10J. Braun331111113G. Felkel269980
LMay 13 · 14:30J. Braun177550G. Felkel331111113
LApr 25 · 10:25J. Braun4481111862G. Felkel43115511113
LApr 25 · 08:00J. Braun25114191G. Felkel4291111113
WApr 15 · 14:05J. Braun49118811113G. Felkel4771111992
LApr 15 · 05:50J. Braun3811112772G. Felkel47771111113
J. Braun10
WSep 22 · 04:10M. Murawski1.73611521J. Braun2.0011711113LSep 22 · 03:25J. Braun2.38111179112A. Wiecek1.53271111133LSep 15 · 14:10K. Strowski2.2011911113J. Braun1.61611961WSep 15 · 13:20T. Spanik1.67111191262J. Braun2.101391110113WSep 15 · 11:15A. Wiecek1.6781191182J. Braun2.10116113113LSep 15 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.5711711113J. Braun2.25711281WSep 15 · 09:00M. Olejnik1.73151061172J. Braun2.001312115113WSep 15 · 08:05J. Braun1.91581111113M. Miastowski1.8011119962WSep 15 · 06:30T. Spanik1.67411140J. Braun2.101113163LSep 15 · 05:40A. Wiecek1.67101111113J. Braun2.10125591
G. Felkel10
WSep 22 · 04:30D. Michna1.805101161G. Felkel1.9111125113WSep 22 · 03:00M. Murawski2.006830G. Felkel1.731111113WSep 21 · 14:10G. Felkel1.441111113J. Kuzmicz2.636670WSep 21 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.918101171G. Felkel1.8011128113WSep 21 · 11:40M. Murawski2.202670G. Felkel1.611111113WSep 21 · 10:50G. Felkel1.671111113D. Michna2.106880LSep 21 · 09:40G. Felkel1.7311119652M. Jadczyk2.00431111113LSep 21 · 08:30G. Felkel2.001171071A. Wiecek1.7391112113WSep 21 · 06:55G. Felkel1.73128711113M. Jadczyk2.00101111472LSep 21 · 05:40G. Felkel1.61911681M. Murawski2.2011411113
Upcoming Matches
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