TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Grzegorz Felkel
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1197111012711––
Adrian Wiecek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdrian Wiecek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGrzegorz Felkel above · Adrian Wiecek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 78 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Adrian Wiecek at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Felkel 69–52 Adrian Wiecek Adrian Wiecek has won 52 of their 121 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:47What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Wiecek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
69-52 in 121
Felkel
Wrong
gap of 17 in 121, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Felkel 1870 vs Wiecek 1873
Wiecek
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Felkel 40% vs Wiecek 60%
Wiecek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Felkel 50% vs Wiecek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Felkel +1 · Wiecek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wiecek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFelkel 2.00 / Wiecek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wiecek)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13164789
Felkel2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 30 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back18% 10 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Wiecek1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 172 of 266
Up 2–0, closes it94% 65 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it80% 123 of 154
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFelkel8wins
AwayWiecek2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderFelkel leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFelkel100%7 of 7
AwayWiecek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Felkel7Wiecek3n = 10Felkel took 7 of 10
S2Felkel5Wiecek5n = 10split evenly
S3Felkel5Wiecek5n = 10split evenly
S4Felkel5Wiecek2n = 7Felkel took 5 of 7
S5Felkel3Wiecek0n = 3Felkel took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFelkelWiecekF − WBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.535.8+4.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFelkelWiecekBasisWin rate · lifetime687 / 1164 vs 762 / 138659%55%687 / 1164 vs 762 / 1386Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.940.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WiecekFelkel 2.00/Wiecek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Wiecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wiecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 11:15G. Felkel4311711143A. Wiecek399117121
WSep 9 · 04:10G. Felkel4111811113A. Wiecek29911451
WAug 3 · 09:00G. Felkel4111118113A. Wiecek35881181
LAug 3 · 05:15G. Felkel30611581A. Wiecek4011711113
WJul 29 · 10:00G. Felkel331111113A. Wiecek229850
WJul 29 · 05:40G. Felkel536111113123A. Wiecek46112815102
WJul 28 · 09:00G. Felkel551113911113A. Wiecek4791511842
LJul 28 · 04:30G. Felkel258890A. Wiecek331111113
WJun 17 · 09:40G. Felkel491151111113A. Wiecek4781113962
WJun 17 · 07:20G. Felkel351111133A. Wiecek2045110
G. Felkel10
WSep 21 · 06:55G. Felkel1.73128711113M. Jadczyk2.00101111472LSep 21 · 05:40G. Felkel1.61911681M. Murawski2.2011411113LSep 21 · 04:10G. Felkel1.807990D. Michna1.911111113LSep 21 · 03:00G. Felkel1.5368111192J. Kuzmicz2.38111159113WSep 17 · 14:10K. Wloczko2.757870G. Felkel1.401111113WSep 17 · 13:20J. Kosowski1.57129761G. Felkel2.25101111113WSep 17 · 11:15P. David1.6198100G. Felkel2.201111123LSep 17 · 10:25A. Grela1.671111113G. Felkel2.103790LSep 17 · 09:00J. Zandecki2.1071111123G. Felkel1.671145101WSep 17 · 08:05J. Zandecki2.105930G. Felkel1.671111113
A. Wiecek10
WSep 21 · 09:20A. Wiecek1.57141011123D. Michna2.2512129101LSep 21 · 07:20A. Wiecek1.67911111152J. Kuzmicz2.10118135113WSep 21 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.671091181A. Wiecek2.1012115113WSep 21 · 04:55M. Murawski2.1011611582A. Wiecek1.67811811113LSep 21 · 03:25D. Michna2.00111179113A. Wiecek1.7399111182WSep 15 · 13:45A. Wiecek2.2011119113M. Jadczyk1.61991181WSep 15 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.50911118113K. Strowski2.5011491172LSep 15 · 11:15A. Wiecek1.6781191182J. Braun2.10116113113LSep 15 · 10:00M. Olejnik1.6711711113A. Wiecek2.10711781LSep 15 · 09:20A. Wiecek2.2511168111T. Spanik1.57131411133
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