TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Grzegorz Felkel
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611811115119911
Jakub Kuzmicz
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Kuzmicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGrzegorz Felkel above · Jakub Kuzmicz below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 92 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Jakub Kuzmicz at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Felkel 0–3 Jakub Kuzmicz Grzegorz Felkel has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:34What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Felkel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Kuzmicz
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Felkel 1895 vs Kuzmicz 1927
Kuzmicz
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Felkel 60% vs Kuzmicz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Felkel 60% vs Kuzmicz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Felkel +3 · Kuzmicz +1
Felkel
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Felkel) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmicz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFelkel 1.53 / Kuzmicz 2.38
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Felkel)-2.2pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13164039
Felkel1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 17)
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 223 of 359
Up 2–0, closes it93% 121 of 130
Up 1–0, closes it78% 162 of 208
Kuzmicz2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 18)
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog52% won 122 of 236
Down 0–1, comes back33% 36 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeFelkel0wins
AwayKuzmicz3wins
Kuzmicz leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFelkeln = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayKuzmicz100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Felkel0Kuzmicz3n = 3Kuzmicz took 3 of 3
S2Felkel1Kuzmicz2n = 3Kuzmicz took 2 of 3
S3Felkel1Kuzmicz2n = 3Kuzmicz took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricFelkelKuzmiczF − KBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match30.740.7−10.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFelkelKuzmiczBasisWin rate · lifetime686 / 1160 vs 693 / 119859.1%57.9%686 / 1160 vs 693 / 1198Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.940.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FelkelFelkel 1.53/Kuzmicz 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.6%
Felkel · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kuzmicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 16 · 09:00G. Felkel3831011141J. Kuzmicz4811129163
LSep 16 · 08:05G. Felkel32411981J. Kuzmicz4111811113
LApr 6 · 12:25G. Felkel229940J. Kuzmicz331111113
G. Felkel10
LSep 21 · 04:10G. Felkel1.807990D. Michna1.911111113WSep 17 · 14:10K. Wloczko2.757870G. Felkel1.401111113WSep 17 · 13:20J. Kosowski1.57129761G. Felkel2.25101111113WSep 17 · 11:15P. David1.6198100G. Felkel2.201111123LSep 17 · 10:25A. Grela1.671111113G. Felkel2.103790LSep 17 · 09:00J. Zandecki2.1071111123G. Felkel1.671145101WSep 17 · 08:05J. Zandecki2.105930G. Felkel1.671111113WSep 17 · 07:20A. Grela1.91610110G. Felkel1.801112133WSep 17 · 05:15J. Kosowski1.83141090G. Felkel1.831612113LSep 17 · 04:30M. Jadczyk2.001111113G. Felkel1.738760
J. Kuzmicz10
WSep 21 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.67119671J. Kuzmicz2.1081111113WSep 18 · 15:45J. Kuzmicz1.2612811113J. Stecyszyn2.951011781LSep 18 · 14:10J. Kuzmicz2.20119101142J. Kosowski1.61711129113WSep 18 · 12:55J. Kuzmicz3.00111656113D. Wederlich1.36714111162WSep 18 · 11:15J. Kuzmicz2.757111115113A. Grela1.4011771792LSep 18 · 10:00J. Kuzmicz2.6381231182J. Zandecki1.441110117113WSep 18 · 08:05J. Kuzmicz2.751311133D. Wederlich1.40117110LSep 18 · 06:30J. Zandecki1.4071111113J. Kuzmicz2.75119941LSep 18 · 05:40A. Grela1.44311119113J. Kuzmicz2.6311471182WSep 18 · 04:55J. Kuzmicz2.201111113J. Kosowski1.619980
Upcoming Matches
G. Felkel
Sep 21 · 05:40G. Felkel1.61M. Murawski2.20—Sep 21 · 06:55G. Felkel1.73M. Jadczyk2.00—Sep 21 · 08:30G. Felkel2.00A. Wiecek1.73—Sep 21 · 09:40G. Felkel1.73M. Jadczyk2.00—Sep 21 · 10:50G. Felkel1.67D. Michna2.10—Sep 21 · 11:40G. Felkel1.61M. Murawski2.20—Sep 21 · 12:30G. Felkel2.00A. Wiecek1.73—Sep 21 · 14:10G. Felkel1.44J. Kuzmicz2.63—
J. Kuzmicz
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