TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13145956
Played Sep 18Finished
Jakub Kuzmicz
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
13111171311––––
Damian Wederlich
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:58 and never touched — 69.6% is still 69.6%
Graded at full timeDamian Wederlich to win
69.6%
69.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Kuzmicz above · Damian Wederlich below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 66 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Damian Wederlich at 69.6%
66 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kuzmicz 0–1 Damian Wederlich Jakub Kuzmicz has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Wederlich
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kuzmicz 1898 vs Wederlich 1984
Wederlich
Wrong
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmicz 60% vs Wederlich 100%
Wederlich
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmicz 70% vs Wederlich 100%
Wederlich
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmicz -2 · Wederlich +10
Wederlich
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Wederlich) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wederlich form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmicz 2.75 / Wederlich 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Wederlich)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13145956
Kuzmicz2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog52% won 118 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back32% 34 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 36
Wederlich1.40
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 51 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it79% 37 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKuzmicz0wins
AwayWederlich1wins
Wederlich leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKuzmiczWederlichK − WBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match34.039.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmiczWederlichBasisWin rate · lifetime689 / 1192 vs 91 / 15357.8%59.5%689 / 1192 vs 91 / 153Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WederlichKuzmicz 2.75/Wederlich 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.3%
Wederlich · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kuzmicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJun 27 · 03:45J. Kuzmicz34881171D. Wederlich3911116113
J. Kuzmicz10
LSep 18 · 06:30J. Zandecki1.4071111113J. Kuzmicz2.75119941LSep 18 · 05:40A. Grela1.44311119113J. Kuzmicz2.6311471182WSep 18 · 04:55J. Kuzmicz2.201111113J. Kosowski1.619980WSep 18 · 03:45J. Kuzmicz1.80143M. Olejnik1.91120WSep 17 · 08:05J. Kuzmicz2.1551111113P. Jendrzejewski1.63117991LSep 17 · 06:25K. Wisniewski2.731110119113J. Kuzmicz1.4151281162WSep 17 · 05:35K. Kapik2.4510790J. Kuzmicz1.491211113WSep 17 · 04:50J. Kuzmicz1.4011911123M. Olbrycht2.608119101WSep 17 · 03:40J. Kuzmicz1.301111113D. Kosmal3.057450WSep 16 · 14:10P. David1.2010880J. Kuzmicz4.331211113
D. Wederlich10
WSep 18 · 07:20J. Kosowski1.613118111D. Wederlich2.2011911133WSep 18 · 05:15J. Zandecki1.801112661D. Wederlich1.9141411113WSep 18 · 04:30M. Olejnik2.00711871D. Wederlich1.7311311113WSep 18 · 03:00A. Grela2.1072100D. Wederlich1.671111123WJul 19 · 13:45D. Wederlich1.3381111113M. Domin3.25117981WJul 19 · 12:30D. Wederlich1.30111111133A. Spychala3.407137111WJul 19 · 11:15D. Wederlich1.441111113M. Miastowski2.639850WJul 19 · 10:00T. Spanik2.2511971482D. Wederlich1.579111112113WJul 19 · 09:20D. Wederlich1.7311811133G. Felkel2.006118111WJul 19 · 08:30D. Wederlich1.33511811113M. Domin3.2511811782
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