TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13146185
Played Sep 18Finished
Artur Grela
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7112111012––––
Damian Wederlich
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:28 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeDamian Wederlich to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtur Grela above · Damian Wederlich below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 53 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Damian Wederlich at 57.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Artur Grela 12–24 Damian Wederlich Artur Grela has won 12 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:28What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Wederlich
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-24 in 36
Wederlich
Correct
gap of 12 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grela 1896 vs Wederlich 1940
Wederlich
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grela 60% vs Wederlich 100%
Wederlich
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grela 60% vs Wederlich 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Grela -1 · Wederlich +5
Wederlich
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Wederlich)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wederlich form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrela 2.10 / Wederlich 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Wederlich)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13146185
Grela2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 108 of 234
Down 0–1, comes back32% 43 of 134
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 50
Wederlich1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 51 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it79% 37 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrela4wins
AwayWederlich6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderWederlich leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrela75%3 of 4
AwayWederlich83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grela4Wederlich6n = 10Wederlich took 6 of 10
S2Grela9Wederlich1n = 10Grela took 9 of 10
S3Grela6Wederlich4n = 10Grela took 6 of 10
S4Grela2Wederlich5n = 7Wederlich took 5 of 7
S5Grela0Wederlich3n = 3Wederlich took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrelaWederlichG − WBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.136.5+2.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrelaWederlichBasisWin rate · lifetime634 / 1242 vs 116 / 19951.1%58.3%634 / 1242 vs 116 / 199Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WederlichGrela 2.10/Wederlich 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Wederlich · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Wederlich won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 11 · 08:05A. Grela4081111101D. Wederlich4311713123
LJun 5 · 12:25A. Grela4013117182D. Wederlich521181111113
LJun 5 · 03:00A. Grela29711651D. Wederlich4011711113
WJun 4 · 10:25A. Grela331111113D. Wederlich186480
WJun 4 · 05:05A. Grela351311113D. Wederlich2411670
LMay 23 · 14:50A. Grela47711111172D. Wederlich51117913113
LMay 23 · 09:35A. Grela551116111162D. Wederlich50131826113
WMay 22 · 10:25A. Grela4291111113D. Wederlich26117531
WMay 22 · 07:20A. Grela351111133D. Wederlich2449110
LAug 15 · 15:10A. Grela358111151D. Wederlich3711313103
A. Grela10
WSep 18 · 04:10A. Grela1.9171111113J. Zandecki1.80117361LSep 17 · 13:45P. David2.2010111111113A. Grela1.6112137542WSep 17 · 12:55J. Zandecki1.7351111962A. Grela2.00115911113LSep 17 · 12:05A. Grela2.5011118872J. Kosowski1.50791111113WSep 17 · 10:25A. Grela1.671111113G. Felkel2.103790WSep 17 · 09:40K. Wloczko2.50411461A. Grela1.5011411113LSep 17 · 08:30P. David1.571111113A. Grela2.254780LSep 17 · 07:20A. Grela1.91610110G. Felkel1.801112133WSep 17 · 06:05M. Jadczyk2.00115121192A. Grela1.73911145113WSep 17 · 04:55J. Zandecki1.8389100A. Grela1.831111123
D. Wederlich10
WSep 18 · 04:30M. Olejnik2.00711871D. Wederlich1.7311311113WJul 19 · 13:45D. Wederlich1.3381111113M. Domin3.25117981WJul 19 · 12:30D. Wederlich1.30111111133A. Spychala3.407137111WJul 19 · 11:15D. Wederlich1.441111113M. Miastowski2.639850WJul 19 · 10:00T. Spanik2.2511971482D. Wederlich1.579111112113WJul 19 · 09:20D. Wederlich1.7311811133G. Felkel2.006118111WJul 19 · 08:30D. Wederlich1.33511811113M. Domin3.2511811782LJul 19 · 06:55D. Wederlich1.739450G. Felkel2.001111113LJul 19 · 05:40D. Wederlich1.57910121172T. Spanik2.251112109113LJul 19 · 04:10D. Wederlich1.502560M. Miastowski2.501111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Grela
Sep 18 · 05:40A. Grela1.44J. Kuzmicz2.63—Sep 18 · 06:55A. Grela1.80M. Olejnik1.91—Sep 18 · 08:30A. Grela2.20J. Kosowski1.61—Sep 18 · 10:25A. Grela1.80J. Stecyszyn1.91—Sep 18 · 11:15A. Grela1.36J. Kuzmicz2.85—Sep 18 · 12:30A. Grela1.91J. Zandecki1.80—Sep 18 · 13:45A. Grela2.10D. Wederlich1.67—Sep 18 · 15:00A. Grela2.20J. Kosowski1.61—
D. Wederlich
Sep 18 · 07:20D. Wederlich2.20J. Kosowski1.61—Sep 18 · 08:05D. Wederlich1.36J. Kuzmicz3.00—Sep 18 · 10:50D. Wederlich2.20J. Kosowski1.61—Sep 18 · 12:05D. Wederlich—J. Stecyszyn——Sep 18 · 12:55D. Wederlich1.36J. Kuzmicz3.00—Sep 18 · 13:45D. Wederlich1.67A. Grela2.10—Sep 18 · 15:25D. Wederlich1.91J. Zandecki1.80—
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