TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12259766
Played Jul 19Finished
Damian Wederlich
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911411511––––
Grzegorz Felkel
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
How it is goingDamian Wederlich above · Grzegorz Felkel below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 51 set 3, 5-11
51 points played in total.
H2H Damian Wederlich 21–13 Grzegorz Felkel Grzegorz Felkel has won 13 of their 34 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Felkel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Felkel form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWederlich 1.73 / Felkel 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Felkel)+7.7pp
TT Elite Series · #12259766
Wederlich1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 55 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it78% 40 of 51
Felkel2.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 57 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWederlich4wins
AwayFelkel6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderFelkel leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWederlich66.7%4 of 6
AwayFelkel100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wederlich6Felkel4n = 10Wederlich took 6 of 10
S2Wederlich3Felkel7n = 10Felkel took 7 of 10
S3Wederlich5Felkel5n = 10split evenly
S4Wederlich4Felkel5n = 9Felkel took 5 of 9
S5Wederlich1Felkel2n = 3Felkel took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWederlichFelkelW − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.840.7−2.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWederlichFelkelBasisWin rate · lifetime228 / 379 vs 761 / 123860.2%61.5%228 / 379 vs 761 / 1238Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FelkelWederlich 1.73/Felkel 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Felkel · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Felkel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 19 · 09:20D. Wederlich—11811133G. Felkel—6118111
LJul 19 · 06:55D. Wederlich—9450G. Felkel—1111113
LJul 18 · 10:50D. Wederlich—83141192G. Felkel—1111127113
WJul 11 · 13:20D. Wederlich—11911113G. Felkel—611791
LJul 11 · 05:15D. Wederlich—9411101G. Felkel—11118123
LJun 28 · 11:15D. Wederlich—1111181G. Felkel—71311113
WJun 28 · 03:00D. Wederlich—118117113G. Felkel—31141182
WAug 1 · 11:10D. Wederlich—13118113G. Felkel—1161191
LAug 1 · 08:00D. Wederlich—12127722G. Felkel—10101111113
LJul 24 · 11:10D. Wederlich—911681G. Felkel—11911113
D. Wederlich10
WJul 19 · 13:45D. Wederlich1.3381111113M. Domin3.25117981WJul 19 · 12:30D. Wederlich1.30111111133A. Spychala3.407137111WJul 19 · 11:15D. Wederlich1.441111113M. Miastowski2.639850WJul 19 · 10:00T. Spanik2.2511971482D. Wederlich1.579111112113WJul 19 · 09:20D. Wederlich1.7311811133G. Felkel2.006118111WJul 19 · 08:30D. Wederlich1.33511811113M. Domin3.2511811782LJul 19 · 05:40D. Wederlich1.57910121172T. Spanik2.251112109113LJul 19 · 04:10D. Wederlich1.502560M. Miastowski2.501111113WJul 19 · 03:00D. Wederlich1.331111113A. Spychala3.258890LJul 18 · 14:35T. Spanik2.251111113D. Wederlich1.579910
G. Felkel10
LAug 27 · 14:10D. Michna2.2091111113G. Felkel1.61114891WAug 27 · 13:20K. Kolodziej2.5010560G. Felkel1.501211113LAug 27 · 11:15A. Grela1.73121011113G. Felkel2.001012581LAug 27 · 10:25S. Kolasa2.1081111133G. Felkel1.671164111WAug 27 · 09:00P. David1.50711115112G. Felkel2.50119911133LAug 27 · 07:45D. Michna2.0061111113G. Felkel1.73119251WAug 27 · 06:55A. Grela2.009780G. Felkel1.731111113WAug 27 · 06:05G. Felkel1.671111711113S. Kolasa2.1095111382WAug 27 · 04:30G. Felkel1.251111113M. Domin3.752680LJul 19 · 09:20D. Wederlich1.7311811133G. Felkel2.006118111
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