TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12259409
Played Jul 19Finished
Damian Wederlich
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511118811117118
Maciej Domin
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingDamian Wederlich above · Maciej Domin below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 91 set 5, 11-8
91 points played in total.
H2H Damian Wederlich 3–0 Maciej Domin Maciej Domin has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Wederlich)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Domin form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWederlich 1.33 / Domin 3.25
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Wederlich)+7.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12259409
Wederlich1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 49 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48
Domin3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 52 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back26% 18 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeWederlich3wins
AwayDomin0wins
3 of 3 to a deciderWederlich leads 3–0, and 3 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wederlich2Domin1n = 3Wederlich took 2 of 3
S2Wederlich2Domin1n = 3Wederlich took 2 of 3
S3Wederlich1Domin2n = 3Domin took 2 of 3
S4Wederlich1Domin2n = 3Domin took 2 of 3
S5Wederlich3Domin0n = 3Wederlich took 3 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home3100%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricWederlichDominW − DBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match49.344.7+4.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWederlichDominBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 378 vs 542 / 102460.1%52.9%227 / 378 vs 542 / 1024Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WederlichWederlich 1.33/Domin 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.9%
Wederlich · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Wederlich won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 19 · 08:30D. Wederlich—511811113M. Domin—11811782
WJul 18 · 09:20D. Wederlich—1115127113M. Domin—417101192
WJul 18 · 08:05D. Wederlich—111158113M. Domin—68111122
D. Wederlich10
WJul 19 · 13:45D. Wederlich1.3381111113M. Domin3.25117981WJul 19 · 12:30D. Wederlich1.30111111133A. Spychala3.407137111WJul 19 · 11:15D. Wederlich1.441111113M. Miastowski2.639850WJul 19 · 10:00T. Spanik2.2511971482D. Wederlich1.579111112113WJul 19 · 09:20D. Wederlich1.7311811133G. Felkel2.006118111LJul 19 · 06:55D. Wederlich1.739450G. Felkel2.001111113LJul 19 · 05:40D. Wederlich1.57910121172T. Spanik2.251112109113LJul 19 · 04:10D. Wederlich1.502560M. Miastowski2.501111113WJul 19 · 03:00D. Wederlich1.331111113A. Spychala3.258890LJul 18 · 14:35T. Spanik2.251111113D. Wederlich1.579910
M. Domin10
WSep 6 · 14:10S. Sporek1.8011911181M. Domin1.9171113203WSep 6 · 13:20J. Braun1.404111271M. Domin2.7511514113WSep 6 · 11:15G. Adamiak1.80971191M. Domin1.9111113113LSep 6 · 10:25M. Nowalinski1.5711511113M. Domin2.25911791LSep 6 · 09:00S. Kolasa1.44121169113M. Domin2.63106111162LSep 6 · 07:45M. Domin2.63710100S. Kolasa1.441112123WSep 6 · 06:30M. Domin2.75111113113J. Braun1.405131161LSep 6 · 05:15M. Domin1.5711115192G. Poliniewicz2.25871111113WSep 6 · 04:10S. Sporek2.101178101M. Domin1.6781111123LJul 19 · 13:45D. Wederlich1.3381111113M. Domin3.25117981
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