Tibor Spanik vs Damian Wederlich 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #12259786

Played Jul 19Finished

Tibor Spanik

Home

2.25

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

1199117111412811

Damian Wederlich

Away

1.57

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

How it is goingTibor Spanik above · Damian Wederlich below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 7-11

Set 4 · 14-12

Set 5 · 8-11

Point 103 set 5, 8-11

103 points played in total.

H2H Tibor Spanik 3–2 Damian Wederlich Damian Wederlich has won 2 of their 5 meetings.

Last 5 · 3–2Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Wederlich)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Wederlich form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSpanik 2.25 / Wederlich 1.57

Signal prob.40% / 60%

Edge (Wederlich)+1.0pp

TT Elite Series · #12259786

Spanik2.25

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog52% won 56 of 107

Down 0–1, comes back27% 13 of 49

Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21

Wederlich1.57

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite63% won 49 of 78

Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17

Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 5 meetings

HomeSpanik3wins

AwayWederlich2wins

2 of 5 to a deciderSpanik leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSpanikn = 2, below the 3 needed

AwayWederlich66.7%2 of 3

Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Spanik2Wederlich3n = 5Wederlich took 3 of 5

S2Spanik4Wederlich1n = 5Spanik took 4 of 5

S3Spanik1Wederlich4n = 5Wederlich took 4 of 5

S4Spanik1Wederlich2n = 3Wederlich took 2 of 3

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home120%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home240%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away120%

0–3Straight, away120%

These 5 meetings

MetricSpanikWederlichS − WBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match39.837.0+2.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSpanikWederlichBasisWin rate · lifetime169 / 301 vs 224 / 37556.2%59.7%169 / 301 vs 224 / 375Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Wederlich

Spanik 2.25/Wederlich 1.57

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

59.9%

Wederlich · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Wederlich won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record5

WJul 19 · 05:40T. Spanik—1112109113D. Wederlich—910121172

WJul 18 · 14:35T. Spanik—1111113D. Wederlich—9910

LJul 18 · 03:45T. Spanik—6990D. Wederlich—1111113

LMay 23 · 11:10T. Spanik—11111291D. Wederlich—13714113

WMay 23 · 08:00T. Spanik—611711113D. Wederlich—11511752

T. Spanik10

WAug 31 · 13:45T. Spanik1.61101111113M. Jadczyk2.20123431 LAug 31 · 12:30T. Spanik1.831110111562K. Petas1.831312613113 WAug 31 · 11:15T. Spanik1.731111113K. Wloczko2.007540 LAug 31 · 10:00J. Kosowski1.671110711113T. Spanik2.1081211942 LAug 31 · 09:20T. Spanik1.5711771182K. Strowski2.25511114113 WAug 31 · 08:30T. Spanik1.73811911113K. Petas2.0011811762 LAug 31 · 06:55T. Spanik1.7371111161M. Jadczyk2.0011135183 LAug 31 · 05:40T. Spanik2.25511661J. Kosowski1.5711511113 WAug 31 · 04:10T. Spanik1.4011114113D. Kosmal2.751151241 WAug 31 · 03:00T. Spanik1.671111113K. Wloczko2.109950

D. Wederlich10

WJul 19 · 13:45D. Wederlich1.3381111113M. Domin3.25117981 WJul 19 · 12:30D. Wederlich1.30111111133A. Spychala3.407137111 WJul 19 · 11:15D. Wederlich1.441111113M. Miastowski2.639850 WJul 19 · 09:20D. Wederlich1.7311811133G. Felkel2.006118111 WJul 19 · 08:30D. Wederlich1.33511811113M. Domin3.2511811782 LJul 19 · 06:55D. Wederlich1.739450G. Felkel2.001111113 LJul 19 · 05:40D. Wederlich1.57910121172T. Spanik2.251112109113 LJul 19 · 04:10D. Wederlich1.502560M. Miastowski2.501111113 WJul 19 · 03:00D. Wederlich1.331111113A. Spychala3.258890 LJul 18 · 14:35T. Spanik2.251111113D. Wederlich1.579910

Upcoming Matches

T. Spanik

Sep 8 · 03:45T. Spanik1.73A. Wiecek2.00—Sep 8 · 04:30T. Spanik2.75P. David1.40—Sep 8 · 06:05T. Spanik1.91M. Olejnik1.80—Sep 8 · 06:55T. Spanik2.00J. Kosowski1.73—Sep 8 · 07:45T. Spanik2.63J. Folwarski1.44—Sep 8 · 09:00T. Spanik1.61K. Kolodziej2.20—Sep 8 · 10:00T. Spanik2.00J. Kosowski1.73—Sep 8 · 11:40T. Spanik1.73K. Wloczko2.00—Sep 8 · 12:55T. Spanik1.91M. Olejnik1.80—Sep 8 · 14:35T. Spanik1.73A. Wiecek2.00—

D. Wederlich

Nothing scheduled

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