TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12259450
Played Jul 19Finished
Damian Wederlich
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118119––––
Adrian Spychala
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDamian Wederlich above · Adrian Spychala below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 58 set 3, 11-9
58 points played in total.
H2H Damian Wederlich 9–3 Adrian Spychala Adrian Spychala has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Wederlich)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Spychala form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWederlich 1.33 / Spychala 3.25
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Wederlich)+15.8pp
TT Elite Series · #12259450
Wederlich1.33
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 49 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48
Spychala3.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog28% won 141 of 496
Down 0–1, comes back12% 38 of 324
Down 0–2, comes back3% 5 of 200
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWederlich8wins
AwaySpychala2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderWederlich leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWederlich87.5%7 of 8
AwaySpychalan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wederlich8Spychala2n = 10Wederlich took 8 of 10
S2Wederlich4Spychala6n = 10Spychala took 6 of 10
S3Wederlich4Spychala6n = 10Spychala took 6 of 10
S4Wederlich7Spychala2n = 9Wederlich took 7 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWederlichSpychalaW − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.337.4+3.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWederlichSpychalaBasisWin rate · lifetime226 / 377 vs 602 / 163260%36.9%226 / 377 vs 602 / 1632Avg sets wonper match2.11.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.435.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WederlichWederlich 1.33/Spychala 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
86.7%
Wederlich · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Wederlich won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 18 · 05:40D. Wederlich—11126113A. Spychala—9101181
WJul 10 · 05:15D. Wederlich—111011113A. Spychala—712761
WJun 28 · 09:20D. Wederlich—13711113A. Spychala—1111951
LJun 28 · 04:10D. Wederlich—11810131A. Spychala—71112153
WJun 27 · 12:05D. Wederlich—1281011113A. Spychala—101112992
WJun 27 · 04:55D. Wederlich—11118113A. Spychala—481171
LAug 10 · 14:05D. Wederlich—11840A. Spychala—1311113
WAug 10 · 05:50D. Wederlich—911117113A. Spychala—11881162
WJun 19 · 03:30D. Wederlich—11117113A. Spychala—781181
WMar 17 · 05:20D. Wederlich—11811113A. Spychala—611661
D. Wederlich10
WJul 19 · 13:45D. Wederlich1.3381111113M. Domin3.25117981WJul 19 · 12:30D. Wederlich1.30111111133A. Spychala3.407137111WJul 19 · 11:15D. Wederlich1.441111113M. Miastowski2.639850WJul 19 · 10:00T. Spanik2.2511971482D. Wederlich1.579111112113WJul 19 · 09:20D. Wederlich1.7311811133G. Felkel2.006118111WJul 19 · 08:30D. Wederlich1.33511811113M. Domin3.2511811782LJul 19 · 06:55D. Wederlich1.739450G. Felkel2.001111113LJul 19 · 05:40D. Wederlich1.57910121172T. Spanik2.251112109113LJul 19 · 04:10D. Wederlich1.502560M. Miastowski2.501111113LJul 18 · 14:35T. Spanik2.251111113D. Wederlich1.579910
A. Spychala10
WSep 2 · 19:40A. Spychala1.801211113J. Witkowski1.9110790WSep 2 · 18:30A. Spychala1.73119411113M. Olbrycht2.0031111772LSep 2 · 17:20A. Spychala1.83117781K. Kapik1.8371111113WSep 2 · 16:05L. Pietraszko2.63101111652A. Spychala1.44129911113WSep 2 · 15:25A. Spychala1.91411145113J. Chmielowski1.80117121182WSep 2 · 14:35A. Spychala1.7011118113J. Witkowski1.95771171LSep 2 · 13:00A. Spychala1.80116612102M. Kolek1.858111110123WSep 2 · 11:45A. Spychala1.8371111113K. Wisniewski1.86118761LSep 2 · 10:05A. Spychala2.95481591J. Kuzmicz1.33111113113LJul 19 · 12:30D. Wederlich1.30111111133A. Spychala3.407137111
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