Damian Wederlich vs Tibor Spanik 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #12259615

Played Jul 19Finished

Damian Wederlich

Home

1.57

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

91110121210119711

Tibor Spanik

Away

2.25

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 2

How it is goingDamian Wederlich above · Tibor Spanik below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 10-12

Set 3 · 12-10

Set 4 · 11-9

Set 5 · 7-11

Point 102 set 5, 7-11

102 points played in total.

H2H Damian Wederlich 2–3 Tibor Spanik Damian Wederlich has won 2 of their 5 meetings.

Last 5 · 2–3Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Wederlich)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Spanik form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsWederlich 1.57 / Spanik 2.25

Signal prob.65% / 35%

Edge (Wederlich)+6.0pp

TT Elite Series · #12259615

Wederlich1.57

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite63% won 49 of 78

Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17

Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48

Spanik2.25

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog52% won 56 of 107

Down 0–1, comes back27% 13 of 49

Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 5 meetings

HomeWederlich2wins

AwaySpanik3wins

2 of 5 to a deciderSpanik leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeWederlich66.7%2 of 3

AwaySpanikn = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Wederlich3Spanik2n = 5Wederlich took 3 of 5

S2Wederlich1Spanik4n = 5Spanik took 4 of 5

S3Wederlich4Spanik1n = 5Wederlich took 4 of 5

S4Wederlich2Spanik1n = 3Wederlich took 2 of 3

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home120%

3–1Four sets, home120%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away240%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away120%

These 5 meetings

MetricWederlichSpanikW − SBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match37.039.8−2.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricWederlichSpanikBasisWin rate · lifetime222 / 372 vs 167 / 29859.7%56%222 / 372 vs 167 / 298Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.4per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Wederlich

Wederlich 1.57/Spanik 2.25

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

64.9%

Wederlich · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Spanik won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record5

LJul 19 · 05:40D. Wederlich—910121172T. Spanik—1112109113

LJul 18 · 14:35D. Wederlich—9910T. Spanik—1111113

WJul 18 · 03:45D. Wederlich—1111113T. Spanik—6990

WMay 23 · 11:10D. Wederlich—13714113T. Spanik—11111291

LMay 23 · 08:00D. Wederlich—11511752T. Spanik—611711113

D. Wederlich10

WJul 19 · 13:45D. Wederlich1.3381111113M. Domin3.25117981 WJul 19 · 12:30D. Wederlich1.30111111133A. Spychala3.407137111 WJul 19 · 11:15D. Wederlich1.441111113M. Miastowski2.639850 WJul 19 · 10:00T. Spanik2.2511971482D. Wederlich1.579111112113 WJul 19 · 09:20D. Wederlich1.7311811133G. Felkel2.006118111 WJul 19 · 08:30D. Wederlich1.33511811113M. Domin3.2511811782 LJul 19 · 06:55D. Wederlich1.739450G. Felkel2.001111113 LJul 19 · 04:10D. Wederlich1.502560M. Miastowski2.501111113 WJul 19 · 03:00D. Wederlich1.331111113A. Spychala3.258890 LJul 18 · 14:35T. Spanik2.251111113D. Wederlich1.579910

T. Spanik10

WAug 31 · 13:45T. Spanik1.61101111113M. Jadczyk2.20123431 LAug 31 · 12:30T. Spanik1.831110111562K. Petas1.831312613113 WAug 31 · 11:15T. Spanik1.731111113K. Wloczko2.007540 LAug 31 · 10:00J. Kosowski1.671110711113T. Spanik2.1081211942 LAug 31 · 09:20T. Spanik1.5711771182K. Strowski2.25511114113 WAug 31 · 08:30T. Spanik1.73811911113K. Petas2.0011811762 LAug 31 · 06:55T. Spanik1.7371111161M. Jadczyk2.0011135183 LAug 31 · 05:40T. Spanik2.25511661J. Kosowski1.5711511113 LJul 19 · 10:00T. Spanik2.2511971482D. Wederlich1.579111112113 WJul 18 · 14:35T. Spanik2.251111113D. Wederlich1.579910

Upcoming Matches

D. Wederlich

Nothing scheduled

T. Spanik

Sep 8 · 03:45T. Spanik1.73A. Wiecek2.00—Sep 8 · 04:30T. Spanik2.75P. David1.40—Sep 8 · 06:05T. Spanik1.91M. Olejnik1.80—Sep 8 · 06:55T. Spanik2.00J. Kosowski1.73—Sep 8 · 07:45T. Spanik2.63J. Folwarski1.44—Sep 8 · 09:00T. Spanik1.61K. Kolodziej2.20—Sep 8 · 10:00T. Spanik2.00J. Kosowski1.73—Sep 8 · 11:40T. Spanik1.73K. Wloczko2.00—Sep 8 · 12:55T. Spanik1.91M. Olejnik1.80—Sep 8 · 14:35T. Spanik1.73A. Wiecek2.00—

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