Damian Wederlich vs Grzegorz Felkel 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #12259810

Played Jul 19Finished

Damian Wederlich

Home

1.73

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1168111181311––

Grzegorz Felkel

Away

2.00

At publish

Won last 10

Form at publish

10–0Last 10Won last 10

How it is goingDamian Wederlich above · Grzegorz Felkel below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 11-8

Set 4 · 13-11

Point 79 set 4, 13-11

79 points played in total.

H2H Damian Wederlich 20–13 Grzegorz Felkel Grzegorz Felkel has won 13 of their 33 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6SplitHead to head

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Felkel)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Felkel form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsWederlich 1.73 / Felkel 2.00

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Felkel)+7.7pp

TT Elite Series · #12259810

Wederlich1.73

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite63% won 49 of 78

Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17

Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48

Felkel2.00

100%won 10 of 10 · last 10

Won last 10

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As underdog44% won 55 of 125

Down 0–1, comes back20% 14 of 70

Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 38

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeWederlich4wins

AwayFelkel6wins

4 of 10 to a deciderFelkel leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeWederlich66.7%4 of 6

AwayFelkel100%4 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Wederlich6Felkel4n = 10Wederlich took 6 of 10

S2Wederlich3Felkel7n = 10Felkel took 7 of 10

S3Wederlich5Felkel5n = 10split evenly

S4Wederlich3Felkel6n = 9Felkel took 6 of 9

S5Wederlich2Felkel2n = 4split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricWederlichFelkelW − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.541.8−3.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricWederlichFelkelBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 374 vs 767 / 124959.6%61.4%223 / 374 vs 767 / 1249Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Felkel

Wederlich 1.73/Felkel 2.00

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Felkel · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Wederlich won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LJul 19 · 06:55D. Wederlich—9450G. Felkel—1111113

LJul 18 · 10:50D. Wederlich—83141192G. Felkel—1111127113

WJul 11 · 13:20D. Wederlich—11911113G. Felkel—611791

LJul 11 · 05:15D. Wederlich—9411101G. Felkel—11118123

LJun 28 · 11:15D. Wederlich—1111181G. Felkel—71311113

WJun 28 · 03:00D. Wederlich—118117113G. Felkel—31141182

WAug 1 · 11:10D. Wederlich—13118113G. Felkel—1161191

LAug 1 · 08:00D. Wederlich—12127722G. Felkel—10101111113

LJul 24 · 11:10D. Wederlich—911681G. Felkel—11911113

WJul 24 · 06:40D. Wederlich—1171110113G. Felkel—71191282

D. Wederlich10

WJul 19 · 13:45D. Wederlich1.3381111113M. Domin3.25117981 WJul 19 · 12:30D. Wederlich1.30111111133A. Spychala3.407137111 WJul 19 · 11:15D. Wederlich1.441111113M. Miastowski2.639850 WJul 19 · 10:00T. Spanik2.2511971482D. Wederlich1.579111112113 WJul 19 · 08:30D. Wederlich1.33511811113M. Domin3.2511811782 LJul 19 · 06:55D. Wederlich1.739450G. Felkel2.001111113 LJul 19 · 05:40D. Wederlich1.57910121172T. Spanik2.251112109113 LJul 19 · 04:10D. Wederlich1.502560M. Miastowski2.501111113 WJul 19 · 03:00D. Wederlich1.331111113A. Spychala3.258890 LJul 18 · 14:35T. Spanik2.251111113D. Wederlich1.579910

G. Felkel10

LAug 27 · 14:10D. Michna2.2091111113G. Felkel1.61114891 WAug 27 · 13:20K. Kolodziej2.5010560G. Felkel1.501211113 LAug 27 · 11:15A. Grela1.73121011113G. Felkel2.001012581 LAug 27 · 10:25S. Kolasa2.1081111133G. Felkel1.671164111 WAug 27 · 09:00P. David1.50711115112G. Felkel2.50119911133 LAug 27 · 07:45D. Michna2.0061111113G. Felkel1.73119251 WAug 27 · 06:55A. Grela2.009780G. Felkel1.731111113 WAug 27 · 06:05G. Felkel1.671111711113S. Kolasa2.1095111382 WAug 27 · 04:30G. Felkel1.251111113M. Domin3.752680 WJul 19 · 06:55D. Wederlich1.739450G. Felkel2.001111113

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