TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13139934
Played Sep 17Finished
Jan Zandecki
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511115119911611
Artur Grela
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeArtur Grela to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Zandecki above · Artur Grela below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 89 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Artur Grela at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Jan Zandecki 33–39 Artur Grela Jan Zandecki has won 33 of their 72 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:07What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zandecki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-39 in 72
Grela
Correct
gap of 6 in 72, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zandecki 1914 vs Grela 1915
Grela
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zandecki 60% vs Grela 40%
Zandecki
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zandecki 60% vs Grela 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zandecki +3 · Grela -1
Zandecki
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zandecki) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZandecki 1.73 / Grela 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zandecki)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13139934
Zandecki1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 110 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it96% 47 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it79% 79 of 100
Grela2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 108 of 234
Down 0–1, comes back32% 43 of 134
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZandecki5wins
AwayGrela5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZandeckin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayGrela50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zandecki2Grela8n = 10Grela took 8 of 10
S2Zandecki5Grela5n = 10split evenly
S3Zandecki8Grela2n = 10Zandecki took 8 of 10
S4Zandecki5Grela5n = 10split evenly
S5Zandecki2Grela2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZandeckiGrelaZ − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match40.237.5+2.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZandeckiGrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime469 / 843 vs 635 / 124855.6%50.9%469 / 843 vs 635 / 1248Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZandeckiZandecki 1.73/Grela 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zandecki · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Grela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 15:00J. Zandecki30116761A. Grela4181111113
WAug 21 · 08:30J. Zandecki4071111113A. Grela27116461
LAug 20 · 14:35J. Zandecki4368111172A. Grela47111159113
LAug 20 · 06:30J. Zandecki409131171A. Grela4311156113
LAug 15 · 03:25J. Zandecki4251171182A. Grela43115115113
WAug 14 · 12:05J. Zandecki46311129113A. Grela47117101182
WAug 14 · 04:10J. Zandecki4071111113A. Grela27117631
WAug 6 · 11:15J. Zandecki46711116113A. Grela3911741162
WAug 6 · 03:00J. Zandecki4111811113A. Grela24311641
LAug 5 · 14:35J. Zandecki34971171A. Grela3711114113
J. Zandecki10
WSep 17 · 11:40J. Zandecki1.501113113K. Wloczko2.5091160WSep 17 · 10:00J. Zandecki1.331212113P. David3.25101070WSep 17 · 09:00J. Zandecki2.1071111123G. Felkel1.671145101LSep 17 · 08:05J. Zandecki2.105930G. Felkel1.671111113LSep 17 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.7311911113J. Zandecki2.00711661WSep 17 · 05:40P. David1.6799111262J. Zandecki2.101111710113LSep 17 · 04:55J. Zandecki1.8389100A. Grela1.831111123WSep 17 · 03:45J. Zandecki1.8311114113M. Jadczyk1.83571161WSep 13 · 14:10J. Zandecki1.61111189113K. Petas2.2058111152LSep 13 · 12:30G. Adamiak2.6361111113J. Zandecki1.44114961
A. Grela10
LSep 17 · 12:05A. Grela2.5011118872J. Kosowski1.50791111113WSep 17 · 10:25A. Grela1.671111113G. Felkel2.103790WSep 17 · 09:40K. Wloczko2.50411461A. Grela1.5011411113LSep 17 · 08:30P. David1.571111113A. Grela2.254780LSep 17 · 07:20A. Grela1.91610110G. Felkel1.801112133WSep 17 · 06:05M. Jadczyk2.00115121192A. Grela1.73911145113WSep 17 · 04:55J. Zandecki1.8389100A. Grela1.831111123WSep 17 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.57141050A. Grela2.251612113LSep 10 · 13:45A. Grela1.80411741M. Jadczyk1.9111411113WSep 10 · 12:30A. Grela1.831171011113D. Michna1.8351112962
Upcoming Matches
J. Zandecki
Sep 17 · 14:35J. Zandecki1.80J. Kosowski1.91—Sep 18 · 03:25J. Zandecki1.80J. Kosowski1.91—Sep 18 · 04:10J. Zandecki1.73A. Grela2.00—Sep 18 · 05:15J. Zandecki1.80D. Wederlich1.91—Sep 18 · 06:30J. Zandecki1.40J. Kuzmicz2.75—Sep 18 · 07:45J. Zandecki2.50M. Olejnik1.50—Sep 18 · 10:00J. Zandecki1.40J. Kuzmicz2.75—Sep 18 · 11:40J. Zandecki1.80J. Kosowski1.91—Sep 18 · 12:30J. Zandecki1.73A. Grela2.00—Sep 18 · 15:25J. Zandecki1.80D. Wederlich1.91—
A. Grela
Sep 18 · 03:00A. Grela2.10D. Wederlich1.67—Sep 18 · 04:10A. Grela2.00J. Zandecki1.73—Sep 18 · 05:40A. Grela1.44J. Kuzmicz2.63—Sep 18 · 06:55A. Grela1.80M. Olejnik1.91—Sep 18 · 08:30A. Grela2.20J. Kosowski1.61—Sep 18 · 12:30A. Grela2.00J. Zandecki1.73—Sep 18 · 13:45A. Grela2.10D. Wederlich1.67—Sep 18 · 15:00A. Grela2.20J. Kosowski1.61—
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