TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13139921
Played Sep 17Finished
Petr David
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114117118––––
Artur Grela
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:58 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timePetr David to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr David above · Artur Grela below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 52 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Petr David at 60.9%
52 points played in total.
H2H Petr David 60–32 Artur Grela Artur Grela has won 32 of their 92 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:58What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
David
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
60-32 in 92
David
Correct
gap of 28 in 92, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
David 1943 vs Grela 1932
David
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
David 40% vs Grela 60%
Grela
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
David 60% vs Grela 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
David -2 · Grela -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans David)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grela form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDavid 1.57 / Grela 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (David)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13139921
David1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 229 of 341
Up 2–0, closes it97% 118 of 122
Up 1–0, closes it83% 172 of 208
Grela2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 108 of 234
Down 0–1, comes back32% 43 of 134
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDavid8wins
AwayGrela2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDavid leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDavid88.9%8 of 9
AwayGrelan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1David9Grela1n = 10David took 9 of 10
S2David5Grela5n = 10split evenly
S3David4Grela6n = 10Grela took 6 of 10
S4David4Grela3n = 7David took 4 of 7
S5David3Grela0n = 3David took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDavidGrelaD − GBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match43.137.3+5.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDavidGrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime651 / 990 vs 634 / 124765.8%50.8%651 / 990 vs 634 / 1247Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DavidDavid 1.57/Grela 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.9%
David · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
David won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 5 · 15:10P. David331111113A. Grela163940
WJun 5 · 07:25P. David531111119113A. Grela4483131192
LJun 4 · 14:50P. David361178101A. Grela4061111123
WJun 4 · 09:35P. David381111163A. Grela3088140
WMay 14 · 13:40P. David551710611113A. Grela48151211552
WMay 14 · 09:35P. David45111211113A. Grela399101371
WMay 6 · 10:00P. David4411814113A. Grela389111261
LMay 6 · 09:15P. David248790A. Grela331111113
WMay 5 · 10:25P. David43111110113A. Grela31661271
WMay 5 · 08:00P. David601118118123A. Grela54920411102
P. David10
LSep 17 · 10:00J. Zandecki1.331212113P. David3.25101070WSep 17 · 09:20P. David1.83114711113J. Kosowski1.8391111882LSep 17 · 06:55P. David1.738111411112M. Jadczyk2.00114163133LSep 17 · 05:40P. David1.6799111262J. Zandecki2.101111710113WSep 17 · 04:10P. David1.8071111113J. Kosowski1.91117971WSep 17 · 03:00P. David1.619111111113G. Felkel2.2011481392LSep 16 · 14:10P. David1.2010880J. Kuzmicz4.331211113WSep 16 · 12:30M. Miastowski3.0051191362P. David1.361171111113WSep 16 · 11:40G. Felkel2.2011370P. David1.611311113LSep 16 · 10:50P. David1.25911891K. Wloczko3.7511911113
A. Grela10
WSep 17 · 09:40K. Wloczko2.50411461A. Grela1.5011411113LSep 17 · 07:20A. Grela1.91610110G. Felkel1.801112133WSep 17 · 06:05M. Jadczyk2.00115121192A. Grela1.73911145113WSep 17 · 04:55J. Zandecki1.8389100A. Grela1.831111123WSep 17 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.57141050A. Grela2.251612113LSep 10 · 13:45A. Grela1.80411741M. Jadczyk1.9111411113WSep 10 · 12:30A. Grela1.831171011113D. Michna1.8351112962WSep 10 · 11:15A. Grela1.831211510113G. Felkel1.83107111272LSep 10 · 10:00K. Wloczko2.38113119113A. Grela1.5371181172WSep 10 · 09:20A. Grela1.4411116113K. Kolodziej2.63981151
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