TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13139774
Played Sep 17Finished
Petr David
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119411711118118
Jakub Kosowski
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr David to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr David above · Jakub Kosowski below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 91 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Petr David at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Petr David 46–39 Jakub Kosowski Jakub Kosowski has won 39 of their 85 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:38What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kosowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
46-39 in 85
David
Correct
gap of 7 in 85, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
David 1957 vs Kosowski 1901
David
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
David 60% vs Kosowski 40%
David
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
David 60% vs Kosowski 40%
David
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
David +1 · Kosowski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans David)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDavid 1.83 / Kosowski 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (David)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13139774
David1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Kosowski1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDavid6wins
AwayKosowski4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDavid leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDavid66.7%2 of 3
AwayKosowski42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1David3Kosowski7n = 10Kosowski took 7 of 10
S2David7Kosowski3n = 10David took 7 of 10
S3David6Kosowski4n = 10David took 6 of 10
S4David4Kosowski4n = 8split evenly
S5David2Kosowski1n = 3David took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDavidKosowskiD − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.938.5+2.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDavidKosowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime652 / 991 vs 721 / 122365.8%59%652 / 991 vs 721 / 1223Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DavidDavid 1.83/Kosowski 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
David · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
David won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 04:10P. David4071111113J. Kosowski34117971
WSep 8 · 03:00P. David47711711113J. Kosowski3811611642
WSep 7 · 14:35P. David361111143J. Kosowski2897120
LSep 7 · 06:30P. David29101090J. Kosowski351212113
WAug 5 · 11:15P. David4071111113J. Kosowski33119761
LAug 5 · 04:10P. David348101151J. Kosowski4011126113
WAug 2 · 13:45P. David49811118113J. Kosowski4211571182
WAug 2 · 08:30P. David4111118113J. Kosowski32671181
LAug 1 · 14:35P. David521551111102J. Kosowski561311713123
LAug 1 · 06:30P. David418117151J. Kosowski4711811173
P. David10
LSep 17 · 10:00J. Zandecki1.331212113P. David3.25101070WSep 17 · 08:30P. David1.571111113A. Grela2.254780LSep 17 · 06:55P. David1.738111411112M. Jadczyk2.00114163133LSep 17 · 05:40P. David1.6799111262J. Zandecki2.101111710113WSep 17 · 04:10P. David1.8071111113J. Kosowski1.91117971WSep 17 · 03:00P. David1.619111111113G. Felkel2.2011481392LSep 16 · 14:10P. David1.2010880J. Kuzmicz4.331211113WSep 16 · 12:30M. Miastowski3.0051191362P. David1.361171111113WSep 16 · 11:40G. Felkel2.2011370P. David1.611311113LSep 16 · 10:50P. David1.25911891K. Wloczko3.7511911113
J. Kosowski10
WSep 17 · 07:45J. Kosowski1.831191011113M. Jadczyk1.8081112352WSep 17 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.7311911113J. Zandecki2.00711661LSep 17 · 05:15J. Kosowski1.83141090G. Felkel1.831612113LSep 17 · 04:10P. David1.8071111113J. Kosowski1.91117971LSep 17 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.57141050A. Grela2.251612113LSep 8 · 13:45J. Kosowski2.2044111282M. Olejnik1.611111410113WSep 8 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.361211113K. Wloczko3.0010980LSep 8 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.3311711142K. Kolodziej3.25911911113LSep 8 · 10:00T. Spanik2.201111113J. Kosowski1.619850WSep 8 · 09:20J. Kosowski1.6712611133A. Wiecek2.1010118111
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